NBA Picks
Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction: Why This Christmas Spread Feels Too Wide
The Warriors are laying 8 points at home on Christmas Day, but once you dig into the matchup data and what Dallas has shown recently with Cooper Flagg and Anthony Davis, this spread starts to feel stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Mavericks plus the points is the play.
Cavaliers vs Knicks Prediction: Christmas at MSG Brings a Line That Demands Respect
The Knicks are laying 5.5 at home on Christmas Day, and the market is pricing in their 14-2 home record and Cleveland’s road struggles. But with Donovan Mitchell averaging 30.6 PPG and the Cavaliers showing offensive depth in their last win, this spread feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the points hold value at Madison Square Garden.
Spurs vs Thunder Prediction: OKC’s Perfect Home Record Faces Its Toughest Test
Oklahoma City is 14-0 at home and laying 9 points on Christmas Day, but San Antonio just beat them by 20 twice in eleven days. Bash breaks down why the Spurs’ recent dominance in this matchup makes the spread too high, even at Paycom Center.
Rockets vs Lakers Prediction: Christmas Chaos With Luka in Question
The Lakers are getting 2.5 points at home on Christmas Day against the Rockets, but the real story is Luka Doncic’s questionable status. With both teams dealing with key injuries and coming off blowout losses, this spread feels tight for a reason. Bash breaks down why the Lakers plus the points is the play.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction: Denver’s Home Struggles Make This Number Too Steep
Denver is laying 3.5 at home on Christmas, but their 9-5 home record and Minnesota’s road success make this spread too steep. Edwards and Randle have the firepower to keep this close against Jokic and the Nuggets.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz Prediction: Road Value on a Shorthanded Squad
The Grizzlies are laying 2.5 on the road without Ja Morant, but Utah’s offensive firepower at home makes this line feel stretched. Bash breaks down why the Jazz plus the points is the play.
Pelicans vs Cavaliers Prediction: Cleveland’s Double-Digit Spread Faces Rotation Reality
The Cavaliers are laying 10 points at home against the Pelicans, but without Evan Mobley and facing a New Orleans team riding a five-game winning streak, this spread looks inflated. Bryan Bash breaks down why the points are the play.
Bulls vs Hawks Prediction: Atlanta’s Home Struggles Create Value in a Pace-Up Rematch
The Bulls get +4 in Atlanta after dropping 152 points on the Hawks just two days ago. With Atlanta’s troubling 5-8 home record and Dyson Daniels out, this line overvalues home court in what projects as another high-possession shootout at State Farm Arena.

