NBA Picks
Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction: When the Margin Meets the Moment
Oklahoma City is laying 16.5 at home against a shorthanded Memphis squad, and the market sees a blowout. But the Grizzlies are 7-7 on the road, and this spread feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the margin narrows and where the value sits.
Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction: When Two Struggling Teams Meet, Trust the Efficiency Gap
New Orleans is just 5-12 at home despite their recent surge. With Anthony Davis off the injury report, can Dallas secure an ATS pick win at the Smoothie King Center?
Pacers vs Celtics Prediction: Why Boston’s Depth and Efficiency Make 10 Points Look Generous
Bryan Bash breaks down why the Celtics’ depth and efficiency make them a strong play at -10 against a Pacers team that’s 1-12 on the road. Boston’s balanced scoring and defensive versatility should exploit Indiana’s thin rotation at TD Garden.
Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction: Why Denver’s Depth Advantage Makes This Number Playable
The Nuggets are laying 13 points at home against a shorthanded Jazz squad, and this number reflects a legitimate efficiency gap. With Jokic and Murray healthy and Utah potentially without Markkanen, Denver’s offensive consistency should create the margin this spread requires.
Spurs vs Wizards Prediction: San Antonio’s Efficiency Edge Makes This Number Look Light
The Spurs are laying 15.5 on the road against a shorthanded Wizards team, but Washington just dropped 130 on Memphis. Bryan Bash breaks down why this number feels slightly inflated and explains why the points are the play.
Rockets vs Kings Prediction: Houston’s Depth Advantage Should Cover Double Digits
The Rockets are laying 12 points on the road against a Kings team missing Sabonis, LaVine, and Eubanks. Houston’s depth and two-way versatility should create a margin that covers double digits in Sacramento.
Bulls vs Hawks Prediction: Atlanta’s Thin Depth Makes This Number Too Wide
The Hawks are laying 5 points at home, but without Porzingis and a 5-7 home record, this line feels stretched. Chicago just executed on the road in Cleveland, and with Giddey and Vucevic leading a balanced attack, the Bulls have the tools to keep this tight. Bash breaks down why Atlanta’s thin depth makes 5 points too many to lay.
Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction: Minnesota’s Efficiency Edge Should Cover the Big Number
Minnesota lays 12 at home against a Giannis-less Bucks squad that’s 3-9 on the road. Bash breaks down why the Timberwolves’ efficiency edge and defensive versatility should cover the big number at Target Center.

