NBA Picks

The Thunder lay 5.5 on the road in San Antonio, but without Chet Holmgren’s rim protection and interior presence, that number feels stretched against a Spurs team that’s won six of seven and defends home court at 10-2. Bryan Bash breaks down why San Antonio has the matchup advantages to keep this inside the number.

The Timberwolves are laying 7 points at Target Center, and with Jalen Brunson out, this line feels right. Bryan Bash breaks down why Minnesota’s depth and home-court edge should be enough to cover against a depleted Knicks roster.

Cleveland’s laying 9 at home against Charlotte, but once you dig into the matchup data and the Cavs’ recent defensive struggles, that margin feels inflated. If LaMelo Ball plays, the Hornets have the offensive firepower to keep this closer than expected.

Oklahoma City is laying 16.5 at home against a shorthanded Memphis squad, and the market sees a blowout. But the Grizzlies are 7-7 on the road, and this spread feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the margin narrows and where the value sits.

New Orleans is just 5-12 at home despite their recent surge. With Anthony Davis off the injury report, can Dallas secure an ATS pick win at the Smoothie King Center?

Bryan Bash breaks down why the Celtics’ depth and efficiency make them a strong play at -10 against a Pacers team that’s 1-12 on the road. Boston’s balanced scoring and defensive versatility should exploit Indiana’s thin rotation at TD Garden.

The Nuggets are laying 13 points at home against a shorthanded Jazz squad, and this number reflects a legitimate efficiency gap. With Jokic and Murray healthy and Utah potentially without Markkanen, Denver’s offensive consistency should create the margin this spread requires.

The Spurs are laying 15.5 on the road against a shorthanded Wizards team, but Washington just dropped 130 on Memphis. Bryan Bash breaks down why this number feels slightly inflated and explains why the points are the play.