NBA Picks

Denver is 10-8 against the spread when favored by 7.5 or more, but they are just 7-8 overall during Jokic’s current absence. We break down the 7.5-point spread and why Michael Porter Jr.’s 25.2 PPG average for Brooklyn creates a definitive analytical edge in this altitude-driven showdown.

Charlotte averages 16.9 made threes per game, while Dallas struggles with interior depth. We analyze the 4.5-point spread and why the Hornets’ superior offensive efficiency in January suggests a methodical cover against a shorthanded Mavs rotation.

With Giddey officially ruled out, the Bulls must rely on Coby White and Matas Buzelis to provide perimeter punch. We look at the marquee player matchups and provide our free pick for this high-stakes showdown in the Windy City.

Houston lays 3.5 at Atlanta on Thursday, but the Rockets’ 12-13 road record and the Hawks’ four-game winning streak create value on the home dog. Bash breaks down why Atlanta’s momentum and Houston’s travel struggles make the points the right play.

The Thunder have failed to cover in three straight games as favorites, while Minnesota just dismantled Dallas behind a 31-point night from Julius Randle. We expose the betting trends and why this 6-point spread is a gift for home-dog backers.

The Bulls are laying 2 points on the road against a Pacers team that’s 11-36 and dead last in the East. Chicago’s depth and execution should overwhelm an Indiana squad playing on a back-to-back with no defensive answers.

Golden State is laying 10 points in Utah, but the Warriors are missing Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga, gutting their rotation depth. The Jazz have Markkanen and George both averaging over 24 points, and Golden State’s 9-15 road record makes this spread dangerous.

Charlotte lays 2.5 on the road in Memphis, and the Hornets’ ball-handling advantage with LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller should be enough to cover against a Grizzlies squad missing Ja Morant and struggling to create offense in the halfcourt.