Oklahoma City is laying 16.5 at home against a shorthanded Memphis squad, and the market sees a blowout. But the Grizzlies are 7-7 on the road, and this spread feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the margin narrows and where the value sits.

New Orleans is just 5-12 at home despite their recent surge. With Anthony Davis off the injury report, can Dallas secure an ATS pick win at the Smoothie King Center?

Bryan Bash breaks down why the Celtics’ depth and efficiency make them a strong play at -10 against a Pacers team that’s 1-12 on the road. Boston’s balanced scoring and defensive versatility should exploit Indiana’s thin rotation at TD Garden.

The Nuggets are laying 13 points at home against a shorthanded Jazz squad, and this number reflects a legitimate efficiency gap. With Jokic and Murray healthy and Utah potentially without Markkanen, Denver’s offensive consistency should create the margin this spread requires.

The Spurs are laying 15.5 on the road against a shorthanded Wizards team, but Washington just dropped 130 on Memphis. Bryan Bash breaks down why this number feels slightly inflated and explains why the points are the play.

The Rockets are laying 12 points on the road against a Kings team missing Sabonis, LaVine, and Eubanks. Houston’s depth and two-way versatility should create a margin that covers double digits in Sacramento.

The Hawks are laying 5 points at home, but without Porzingis and a 5-7 home record, this line feels stretched. Chicago just executed on the road in Cleveland, and with Giddey and Vucevic leading a balanced attack, the Bulls have the tools to keep this tight. Bash breaks down why Atlanta’s thin depth makes 5 points too many to lay.

Minnesota lays 12 at home against a Giannis-less Bucks squad that’s 3-9 on the road. Bash breaks down why the Timberwolves’ efficiency edge and defensive versatility should cover the big number at Target Center.

The Knicks are laying 7.5 points at Madison Square Garden against a Tyler Herro-less Heat squad. Bryan Bash breaks down why Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo give Miami enough firepower to stay within this spread, even on a back-to-back.

The Pelicans are laying 3 points at home against the Pacers, but with both teams sitting near the bottom of the standings and New Orleans just 4-12 at home, that spread feels inflated. Bryan Bash breaks down why Indiana’s offensive firepower and competitive recent play make them the value side in this matchup.