Suns at Lakers Game 6 Odds & Pick ATS

by | Jun 3, 2021 | nba

Phoenix Suns (51-21 SU, 42-28 ATS) at Los Angeles Lakers (42-30, 32-38), 6/3/21
When: 10:30 pm ET Thursday, June 3
Where: Staples Center
TV: TNT
Point spread: Phx +2/LAL -2 (BetOnline)
Total: 207.5

The upstart Suns are one win away from their first playoff series victory in over a decade, and can make that happen when they take on the defending champion Lakers in Game 6 of their first-round Western Conference affair Thursday night in LA. Phoenix just took a 3-2 series lead with a Game 5 victory Tuesday night and now it looks like the Lakers might be without one of their Big 2 for Thursday. Who do we like here for today’s NBA pick?

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened Los Angeles as a three-point favorite for this Game 6, with an over/under of right around 208.5. Early betting action then dipped the spread to -2 and the total to 207.5. Those of us who think Phoenix might win this game outright could find a price of +116 on the NBA money line at Circa sportsbook in Las Vegas.

Suns-Lakers NBA Playoffs Betting Preview

Phoenix leads this series three games to two after winning Game 5 Tuesday night at home 115-85. The Suns led the Davis-less Lakers 34-26 after one quarter, then exploded in the second to lead 66-36 at the half. Phoenix then never let LA get closer than 24 points from there, breezing to the easy win and cover as a 4.5-point favorite. The Suns shot 46 percent from the floor Tuesday, held the Lakers to just 35 percent FG shooting and won the turnover battle 17-4! Phoenix opened this series as a +125 underdog to win it. Then, after losing home-court advantage by splitting the first two games at home, the Suns rose to +275. Now, after re-taking the series lead Phoenix is lined as a -275 favorite, with LA getting +210 as the new dog. The Suns finished nine games ahead of the Lakers in the regular-season standings, 51-21 to 42-30, and took the season series from LA two games to one. So Phoenix is 5-3 both SU and ATS against Los Angeles this season.

On the injury front Davis is listed as questionable for Thursday night. On the season the Lakers are 19-18 SU, 15-21 ATS without him. Also, both Phoenix G Chris Paul (shoulder) and LA’s LeBron James (ankle) are hurting, and while they’ll both probably play Thursday how much and how effectively is up for debate.

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Suns-Lakers NBA Betting Trends

  • The Suns played 24-12 SU, 19-15 ATS on the road this season.
  • The Lakers played 22-15 SU, 14-22 ATS at home this season.
  • The Suns played 26-11 SU, 24-12 ATS vs. teams that made the playoffs this season.
  • The Lakers played 15-22 SU, 13-24 ATS vs. teams that made the playoffs this season.

Totals Report

Unders played 43-28 in Lakers games this season, which averaged 216 total points. Overs played 42-30 in Suns games this season, which averaged 225 points. Unders are 4-0-1 in this series, as the games are averaging 199 total points against an average over/under of 211.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

Momentum rides with the Suns into LA, while the Lakers are hurting. LeBron’s put on some amazing performances over the years but he can’t do it alone, and it will be very difficult against a team the quality of the Suns. We’re surprised Phoenix isn’t favored here. We’ll take the Suns, who shouldn’t even need the points, for our free NBA playoff pick for Thursday.