When a .500 team walks into a wounded locker room, you check for a setup — and this one’s lit. The Warriors head to Portland looking to punch down on a Blazers squad missing half their rotation, fresh off a 143-point defensive collapse. Golden State may be inconsistent, but when Steph’s hot and the other side is bleeding starters? That’s where value lives. Let’s break this thing down.

Warriors vs Trail Blazers Betting Breakdown | December 14, 2025

Golden State Warriors (13-13 SU, 13-13 ATS) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (9-16 SU, 13-11-1 ATS)

NBA Regular Season

Date/Time: December 14, 2025 – 9:00 PM ET

Where: Moda Center at the Rose Quarter, Portland, OR

TV: Check local listings

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -4.5 / Blazers +4.5

Money Line: Warriors -185 / Blazers +149

Over/Under Total: 234.0

Game Overview

Golden State rolls into Rip City sitting at .500, but don’t let that fool you — they’ve been a sharp cover machine on the road (6-2 ATS L8 away). The Blazers? Injuries everywhere, bad defense, and just got cooked for 143 by the Pelicans. You do the math.

Steph Curry’s averaging 28.5 PPG and just got Jimmy Butler back (19.3 PPG). Their top three scorers combine for 60+ a night. Portland? They’re leaning on Deni Avdija (25.4 PPG) like he’s prime Clyde Drexler — and it’s not enough. They’re 1-6 SU in their last 7, and the defense is dead last in points allowed (121.5).

Key Matchups & Analysis

This one’s about firepower — and Portland’s short on ammo. No Thybulle (best perimeter defender), no Scoot Henderson, no Jrue Holiday, and Robert Williams III is questionable. Golden State’s offensive efficiency edge is +4.2, defensive edge +2.8, and Portland’s negative home-court value (-3.2) flips the Moda Center into a neutral site at best.

The pace should be fast — both teams top 10 in possessions — and Portland’s defense has allowed 120+ in 4 of the last 5. Golden State has scored 110+ in all but one of their last six. When both teams’ Over hit rates are above 60%, the 234 total doesn’t scare me.

Betting Pick & Prediction

Lock it in: Warriors -4.5 and Over 234.0. Everything lines up — rest advantage, injury edge, offensive firepower, ATS trends, and a historically awful Portland defense.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 122, Blazers 115

Best Bets:
✅ Warriors -4.5
✅ Over 234.0

“Blazers are missing half their roster and letting teams hang 140 on them. Warriors cover this number with room to spare.” – Bryan Bash