Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins Prediction 11/28/21

by | Nov 24, 2021 | nfl

Carolina Panthers (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) at Miami Dolphins (4-7, 5-5), 11/28/21

When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Nov. 28

Where: Hard Rock Stadium

Point Spread: Car -1.5/Mia +1.5 (BetNow - Boost your bankroll with a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $1000! The BEST bonus from a legit online bookie!)

Total: 42

Two teams striving to stay alive in their respective conference playoff pictures meet when the Dolphins host the Panthers Sunday afternoon in South Florida. Miami was 1-7 on the season, but a three-game winning streak has it at 4-7. Carolina was 3-0, but it’s now 5-6.

The Panthers are lined as very short road favorites for this game. Who do we like for our free NFL betting pick?

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 12 NFL betting odds opened as the Dolphins as one-point home dogs for this game, with an over/under of right around 43. Early betting action then edged Carolina to -1.5 and dipped that total to 42.

Panthers Betting Preview

Carolina fell back down below .500 last week with a 27-21 home loss to Washington. The Panthers, with Cam Newton back in at quarterback, drove the opening possession of the game yards to a touchdown and took a 14-14 tie into the half. Carolina then gave up the first seven points of the second half, re-tied the score at 21-21 early in the fourth quarter but gave up the last six points of the game to lose outright as a three-point favorite.

The Panthers got out-gained by Washington 369-297, out-rushed 190-111, and lost time of possession by a 36:24 split.

So Carolina has now been out-gained six times over its last eight games and out-rushed by five of its last eight opponents. It’s also 2-6 both SU and ATS over that span.

At 5-6 overall, the Panthers trail first-place Tampa Bay by 2.5 games in the NFC South race, but they’re also only a half-game back of New Orleans in the battle for the seventh and last NFC playoff spot.

Dolphins Betting Preview

Miami, meanwhile, surfs a three-game winning streak into Sunday after beating the Jets on the road last week 24-17. The Dolphins drove the opening possession of the game 83 to a touchdown but only took a 7-7 tie into halftime and a 14-14 tie into the fourth quarter. Miami then scored the next 10 points of the game and hung on for the victory and the cover as a 3.5-point road favorite.

The Dolphins out-gained New York 388-380, out-rushed the Jets 115-102, and won the time of possession by a 34:26 split.

Miami has now out-gained four of its last six opponents, but it’s also only out-rushed two of its previous ten foes.

At 4-7 overall, the Dolphins trail first-place New England by three games in the AFC East race, and they’re 2.5 games back of Buffalo in the battle for the seventh AFC playoff spot.

These two teams last met four seasons ago, a 45-21 Carolina victory. Cam Newton quarterbacked the Panthers that day against Jay Cutler for Miami.

More Picks: Get Zman’s Steelers vs. Bengals Week 12 Spread Play >>>

NFL Betting Trends

  • Home teams are just 77-84 SU, 65-96 ATS in the NFL this season. But numbers like that just make us wonder when they’ll turn back toward normal.
  • Favorites are 98-65 SU, 71-92 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Home dogs are 20-41 SU, 28-33 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

The Under is 7-4 in Panthers games this season, which are averaging 41 total points.
Unders are also 7-4 in Dolphins games this season, which are averaging 43 points.
After going 10-5 last week, Unders are now 92-71 in the NFL this season.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Miami is the hotter team at the moment, but we’re just not that impressed. Yes, the Dolphins recently pulled an upset of Baltimore, but their other wins came over the Texans and Jets. Thanks very much. Carolina, meanwhile, isn’t great at quarterback, but it recently got RB McCaffrey back, and its defense ranks No. 2 in the League. Plus, the Panthers might be ripe for a bounce-back effort this week, following last week’s loss. We like Carolina here. Question: Did you know that you could be betting on games at -105 odds instead of -110? Do you have any idea how much cash you’d be saving? It’s TONS! Be smart and make the switch to reduced vig sports betting TODAY! Click here to sign up at BAS Sportsbook!

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