Toronto Tempo at Atlanta Dream
I banked another winner yesterday Fading my T1 Under spot but it was a day of missed opportunity. TWO games qualified for the Game Two of B2B’s spot and I didn’t play either one because of conflicting stats that pointed to the Under.
And . . . BOTH games went Over.
Yes, I always recommend that if you’re betting on a spot that you banked multiple units on keep riding it until it loses.
No, I didn’t follow my own advice and missed out on banking one if not two units.
(For future opportunities see the “Mark Your Calendar” notes at the end of this article.)
But, in that mode of “Keep Riding It” I have another T1 Under Fade today. And I’m on it!
My T1 model says the Tor/Atl game stays Under tonight.
After yesterday’s loss, T1 Unders record is 11-22, a 67% Fade.
And this spot also fits the subcategory I’ve used the last couple days. After yesterday’s loss the record for the subcategory is 4-9, a 68% Fade.
As I’m looking at the game I remembered that the WNBA doesn’t often schedule Monday games, and that earlier this season they were trending towards the Under (nobody likes going to work on Monday!)
So before I laid my money down I did an update on Monday games and found that the current Ov/Un record is 16-12. That’s 57%, a hair lower than 58% cut off I use for making bets.
The Under did dominate early in the season but the trend is leaning to the Over now.
This game opened at 186′ and the board is currently split between 186’/187/187′.
It’s easily still found at 187 so I’m buying it now before it gets any higher.
Three of Toronto’s last five games have gone Over.
Three of Toronto’s last five Rd games have gone Over.
Two of Dallas’s last five games have gone Over.
Four of Dallas’s last five Hm games have gone Over.
The number looks a little high at 187.
Four of Toronto’s last five games did not reach this number, and two of Dallas’s last five came in at Under 187. But, I’m not making the same mistake I made yesterday laying off the B2B spot. Fading T1 Unders has been profitable for me and I’m sticking with it today.
My play:
Tor/Dal Ov 187
Recap: 1-0
Record: 25-23
Review:
I had Phx/Wash Ov 168. It was tight due to a 14 point Q3 by Phoenix but in the end the Fade came through as it landed on 170.
Mark Your Calendar
Game Two of B2B’s spots is now 11-2 Ov/Un.
That’s 84%!
Although we’re in the final two weeks of the season, there are still SIX spots left to take advantage of:
Toronto, Aug 18/19 and 28/29.
Indiana, Aug 22/23.
Connecticut Aug 25/26.
Golden state, Aug 26/27.
Wash Aug 27/28.
MARK YOUR CALENDAR!!!
