Connecticut vs Gonzaga: Betting Preview & Pick

by | Last updated Mar 25, 2023 | cbb

Connecticut (25-8 SU 24-12 ATS) vs. Gonzaga (28-5 SU 14-21 ATS)
When: Saturday, March 25th: 8:49 ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, NV
TV: TBS
Point Spread: UConn -2/GU +2
Total: 153.5
Money Line: Connecticut Huskies -138/Gonzaga Bulldogs +115 (Stop wasting your hard earned money betting on games at -110 odds! Start saving big $$$ by switching to -105 at BAS Sportsbook!)

The Connecticut Huskies (25-8 SU, 24-12 ATS) will take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-5 SU, 14-21 ATS) in an NCAA March Madness game on March 25th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. The Huskies are currently favored by -2 points over the Bulldogs, with the total set at 153.5.

Line Movement

Gonzaga opened at -2, and the early betting has seen that line move up a notch to -2.5. The total hit the board at 143.5 and has seen little movement.

Last Game Info

Connecticut picked up a victory over Arkansas by a score of 88-65. Heading into the game, the Huskies were favored to win, with a point spread of -3.5. The combined 153 points finished above the 140 total line.

Gonzaga will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated UCLA by a score of 79-76. The Bulldogs also picked up an ATS victory as they were +1 point underdogs. The combined 155 points finished above the 145.5 total line.

Current Form

Connecticut
Over their last five games, Connecticut has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Huskies’ offense averages 79.0 points per game while hitting 48.6% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field while allowing 68.0 points per contest.

Gonzaga
In their previous five contests, Gonzaga is 5-0 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 87.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 55.1%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.4% of their shots while giving up 65.8 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Connecticut’s opponents comes in at 83.8. On the other side, Gonzaga’s combined opponent power rating sits at 81.8.

How Does Connecticut Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Huskies are 7-1 in games on neutral courts.

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How Does Gonzaga Fare On Neutral Courts?

On neutral courts, the Bulldogs put together a mark of 8-2 this season.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Connecticut is averaging 75.2 points per game (80th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.6%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Gonzaga defense that has allowed an average of 72.9 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 44.8% of their shots vs. Gonzaga. On the other side, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are coming into the game averaging 87.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 52.7%. The Bulldogs will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 65.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. the Huskies.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Connecticut has a shooting percentage of 35.4% while ranking 422nd in attempts per game. The Huskies will be facing a Gonzaga defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 37.1%. Gonzaga enters the game having hit 37.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.38 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Connecticut has allowed opponents to hit 29.3% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Connecticut

  • No Reported Injuries

Gonzaga

  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

Both teams have been playing good defense as of late. I project each club to allow around 40%. That won’t likely be a high enough percentage to go over Saturday’s total of 153.5, so I’m betting the UNDER, and I project around 145 points or fewer points to be scored.

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