Friday CFB: Air Force vs. Boise State Prediction ATS

Game Info
Air Force Falcons (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) vs. Boise State Broncos (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)
Week 13
Date/Time: Friday, November 24, 2023 at 4PM EST
Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
TV: Fox Sports One
Betting Odds
Point Spread: AFA +6.5/BSU -6.5 (Bovada – The best sportsbook on the planet! See why!)
Money Line: AF +210, Boise St. -250
Over/Under Total: 46
The Air Force Falcons head to Albertsons Stadium on Friday for a crucial Mountain West showdown with the Boise State Broncos. Air Force, initially dominant with an 8-0 start, has stumbled with three straight losses, including a recent 31-27 defeat to UNLV. Meanwhile, Boise State is coming off a convincing 45-10 victory over Utah State. This matchup will test whether Air Force can recover or if Boise State will capitalize on its late-season surge.
Can Air Force Be Put Together Again?
Air Force showed promise against UNLV, despite recent struggles, including losses to Army and Hawaii. The absence of key players like QB Zac Larrier, RB Emmanuel Michael, and WR Dan Kinamon has impacted their offensive effectiveness. Last week, after leading 27-14 against UNLV, their offense faltered in the second half. As they face Boise State, the question is whether they can regain their early-season form.
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What Can the Broncos Do About It?
Boise State has rebounded late in the season, improving to a 5-2 conference record, matching Air Force’s record. Despite this being a down year by their standards, the Broncos have shown resilience and are a formidable opponent at home. This game presents an opportunity for Boise State to finish their season on a high note and secure a better bowl game.
Edges for Boise State
Boise State’s offense, led by quarterback Taylen Green and running back Ashton Jeanty, has been gaining momentum, scoring 117 points in their last three games. This resurgence, especially at home, could pose significant challenges for an Air Force defense that has shown vulnerabilities in recent games.
Lay the Points on the Home Favorite
With both teams having contrasting seasons, Boise State appears to have the edge in terms of momentum and mental readiness. Air Force’s recent struggles may have taken a toll, making Boise State a favorable pick to win and cover the spread in this matchup.
Loot’s Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I’m betting on the Boise State Broncos minus 6.5 points.
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