RBD closes the Bowl season on an absolute tear, breaking down another dominant week of betting results across college football, NFL, and NBA.
Weekly Review: Bowl Picks at 87%!!!
I am REALLY regretting the end of the college football season.
Read on for the reason why.
NFL Recap
Lacking a strong play from my handicapping models, I turned to a gut feel play,
with a little bit of “homer-ism” mixed in.
Whenever I’m asked who my favorite team is, my answer is always the same –
“The team I have my money on that day.
Unless they lose, then they’re a-holes.”
But I actually do have a favorite team,
the only team I root for in any sport,
the Seattle Seahawks.
I didn’t get the best line (they opened at +1)
but I took Seattle at -2′
in one of the key matchups for the final week of the NFL season.
The Seahawks were on the road, at the 49ers,
in a battle for the top spot of the division
and the best record in the NFL,
giving them an opening week bye.
From the article:
“In a playoff-like environment I always like to back the better defense.
And looking at recent play the better D belongs to Seattle.
During their six game winning streak they’re only giving up about 14 PPG.”
And Seattle didn’t disappoint.
They held San Francisco to just three points.
Yay team!
This puts my NFL record at 13-8, 62%
for the picks I’ve written up in my articles.
And now that the season’s over I get to add one more win,
to move my record to 14-8, 63%.
I only played one NFL Regular Season Wins Total –
NY Giants Under 5′ games.
I gave a deep-dive break down/analysis
on their season and their opponents.
Here’s the summary from the end of the article:
“I just can’t see New York getting to six wins.
Hell, I think they’re lucky if they get the three again like last year.”
Giants finished the season at 4-13.
Nailed it!
College Football Recap
With Navy’s domination of Cincinnati,
I finished the Bowl season at 7-1, 87%.
My college football bet size is FAR larger than any other sport,
so I closed the season and the year on a very high note.
I threw out all my standard systems of using Wrong Favorites and totals,
and except for one game (a W with Mississippi based on my oldest oldest Bowl system)
I relied strictly on my new Dog system.
The 16 Dogs that qualified,
as detailed in my article on December 16th,
starting with my first pick on Jacksonville State.
Those 16 Dogs went 10-5-1,
67%!
And if you followed along with my tips in the PredictEm Forum
you could have gone 10-3
based on my recommendation to not play Missouri State
(and Memphis).
Both Missouri and Memphis State qualified as play AGAINST teams
based on the,
“Play AGAINST any team that lost at least two or more straight games
at the end of the regular season” spot.
Both lost and failed to cover.
Before the bowl season began I gave you the recent record for this spot,
and the nine teams that qualified this year.
Western Kentucky and Southern Miss played each other,
so that left us with seven viable plays to choose from.
Those play AGAINST teams went 0-7.
Yeah.
100%.
My best bet was Navy,
for reasons listed in the article I wrote on their game.
The Midshipmen opened as a Dog
and qualified for the Dog system.
And their opponent, Cincinnati,
qualified for the “Play AGAINST any team that lost at least two or more straight games
at the end of the regular season” spot.
Navy closed as Favs of -7.
And they crushed the Bearcats 35-13.
When two strong handicapping models point you to the same team to play ON,
it’s a beautiful thing.
The combined plays from the two models I recommended
had a record of 17-5.
That’s 77%.
That’s why my largest betting unit is in college football –
19 years of accumulated data advising me what plays to make.
And that’s why I have one goal between now and December of 2026 –
to not get hit by a bus
so I can apply my mathematical models again in next season’s Bowl games.
And kick some bookie ass.
NBA Recap
I submitted my first NBA article pick
and came away with a winner
when the Boston/Indiana game on 12/26 went Over.
With the college football season ending
(I have no play on the two games this week
and likely won’t have one on the championship game either)
I’ll turn my focus to NBA.
It’s not my best sport
(I prefer the WNBA for watching and betting on)
but I won my Battle with the NBA Books last season.
I hit my two main goals:
1 – Don’t Lose Money
(Since it’s estimated that 95% of sports betters lose,
not joining them is an admirable goal.)
2 – Finish the Season with a Profit – ANY Profit.
And, using the unique handicapping models I’ve developed over many years,
I plan on beating the NBA again this season.
Good luck to you all your own personal Battle with the Books.
