Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings
Friday, November 13, 2026
10:00 PM ET, Golden 1 Center
Portland is a 10.5-point favorite over Sacramento at most books, and the total is 229.5. My play is Trail Blazers -10.5.
The Sacramento Kings are 0-6 at Golden 1 Center. Not “struggling at home.” Zero wins. They’ve lost four straight overall, sit at 1-10, and now get a Portland team that just swept Oklahoma City.
Portland is rolling, even without Ja. The Blazers (8-3) beat the Thunder 123-103 on Tuesday and 118-108 on Wednesday, hitting 19 threes in both games. Deni Avdija is playing like a star, averaging 23 points and 6.5 assists, with 24 and 28 in the two OKC wins. Damian Lillard added 25 and 18, and Jrue Holiday is giving them real punch off the bench. Donovan Clingan cleans up the glass at 10.5 rebounds a night.
All of that is happening with Ja Morant out (hamstring) and Shaedon Sharpe out long term with a torn meniscus. Vit Krejci (ankle surgery) and Chris Youngblood (foot) are also out tonight. Portland has just kept winning anyway. It’s 5-1 on the road, and it’s plus-7.3 per 100 possessions, eighth best in the league.
Sacramento can’t keep the ball or stop anybody. The Kings give up 120.3 points per 100 possessions, fourth worst in the NBA, and opponents are shooting like it’s a layup drill, posting the second-highest effective field-goal percentage in the league against them. They also give the ball away 17.5 times a game, including 20 against Orlando and 18 against Miami in their last two. Against a Portland team that loves to get out and shoot, that’s a lot of free possessions.
Rookie Darius Acuff Jr. is the one reason to tune in. He’s averaging 26.2 points, and the AP noted his 288 points through 11 games were the most by a rookie since Michael Jordan. Zach LaVine went for 31 on Tuesday. But Domantas Sabonis has been dealing with knee soreness. He sat out against Miami and went scoreless in 24 minutes against Orlando. When Sabonis was right on opening week, he put up 27, 19 and 10 against Portland, and the Blazers still won by 8 in this building.
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The math says this number is short. Line up the two teams’ season efficiency and Portland is about 20 points per 100 possessions better. Even after you give Sacramento home court and knock Portland down for the travel, you get a fair spread in the mid-teens, not 10.5. The Kings’ home losses tell the same story. San Antonio, the Lakers and Memphis all won comfortably here.
The worry. This is Portland’s third game in four nights after a back-to-back against OKC, and tired legs could show up on the jump shots it lives on. The line has also slid down a point from where it opened even though most of the betting tickets are on Portland, which tells me some bigger money likes the Kings. Acuff can get hot, LaVine can too, and Portland turns it over more than you’d like (16.3 a game). If the Blazers coast after building a lead, a backdoor cover is in play.
Still, I’m not passing up a winless home team, a defense this leaky and a turnover problem this big for under 11 points.
Projected score: Trail Blazers 124, Kings 108
The Pick: Trail Blazers -10.5
The Kings still haven’t figured out how to win at home, so back the Blazers and bring some extra bankroll into Saturday. New players at MyBookie Sportsbook get a 100% REAL CASH bonus on a first deposit of $100 to $300 with promo code PREDICT100. That’s a FREE way to bet Trail Blazers -10.5 and the rest of your NBA picks.
