Joe Jensen

Williams vs Kolek shows a clearer talent gap than the tight moneyline suggests. Find out which way this one goes.

Sproat’s 7 homers in 26.2 innings meets Walker’s power at neutral Busch Stadium. The full read is inside.

Ohtani’s elite 0.60 ERA against Lambert’s 3.52 creates the obvious mismatch — the steep -225 price is the question. The pick is inside.

Peralta’s dominance meets Lorenzen’s 6.09 ERA disaster at Coors Field. Find out which way this one goes.

Atlanta’s +80 run differential is the kind of gap that doesn’t show up by accident. The moneyline at +120 treats these teams as equals when months of performance data suggests otherwise. The full read is inside.

Chandler’s 97.2 mph fastball meets Rodriguez’s .424 xwOBA changeup struggles. The analysis is inside.

Oracle Park’s run suppression amplifies Webb’s sinker advantage over Buehler’s struggling command. Find out which way this one goes.

Abbott’s 15 walks in 34.2 innings face a Cubs lineup drawing 161 walks this season. The pick is inside.

Rodriguez’s sinker has yielded a devastating .541 xwOBA while deGrom dominates with elite stuff. The breakdown is inside.

Tropicana Field amplifies pitching precision — Rasmussen’s 0.85 WHIP creates an edge the -130 line undervalues. The pick is inside.