The Lakers are getting 2.5 points at home on Christmas Day against the Rockets, but the real story is Luka Doncic’s questionable status. With both teams dealing with key injuries and coming off blowout losses, this spread feels tight for a reason. Bash breaks down why the Lakers plus the points is the play.
Denver is laying 3.5 at home on Christmas, but their 9-5 home record and Minnesota’s road success make this spread too steep. Edwards and Randle have the firepower to keep this close against Jokic and the Nuggets.
Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers (3) at CIN. Backup quarterbacks plus December weather equals under in playoff desperation game.
Buffalo has struggled as a favorite this season, while Philadelphia has become a road warrior’s delight. Is Jalen Hurts’ ball security (just 0.9 giveaways per game) enough to spoil the Bills’ home-field advantage? Check out our free pick and betting trends.
Arizona is desperate to snap a seven-game losing streak, but they’re facing a Bengals team that just dropped 45 points. Is the over a lock, or will the Cincinnati weather dampen the scoring? Check out our free pick and Week 17 betting tips.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets (-13.5) at BAL. Patriots facing mentally defeated Jets in must-win spot creates perfect storm for blowout.
Tampa Bay is 7-8 and fighting for the NFC South, while Miami evaluates rookie Quinn Ewers. Discover why the efficiency gap and a 5.5-point spread at Hard Rock Stadium create a complex betting puzzle for Week 17.
New Orleans is averaging 20+ points behind Tyler Shough, but their league-worst red-zone TD rate remains a hurdle. Discover why the efficiency gap at Nissan Stadium favors the road favorites in a low-total environment.
UCLA’s laying 26.5 at home against UC Riverside, and the adjusted efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Bruins cover big at Pauley Pavilion.
The Buckeyes rank 44th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Grambling struggles at 346th defensively. Discover why the “mismatch math” makes Ohio State a confident ATS pick despite the near four-touchdown line.