Stephen F. Austin lays 7.5 at home against Incarnate Word, and the efficiency gap tells the story. The Cardinals rank 321st in adjusted defensive efficiency while SFA’s defense ranks 111th nationally. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.
The Clippers are laying points at home against a Hornets team coming off a 150-point explosion, but once you dig into pace, efficiency, and how this matchup actually plays out, the margin feels stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why Charlotte’s guard play keeps this one closer than the spread suggests.
Lamar’s laying 7.5 at home against Houston Christian, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. With the 17th-ranked defensive rating nationally facing a Houston Christian team on a five-game skid, Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.
The Celtics are laying 5.5 on the road without Tatum, but Boston’s depth and efficiency should be enough to cover against an 8-31 Pacers team that’s 6-15 at home. Bash breaks down why the line still holds value.
McNeese lays 13.5 at home against Nicholls in a Southland showdown with a massive 19.9-point efficiency gap. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Cowboys’ elite defense and rebounding dominance make this number look too low.
Philadelphia lays 3 points in the back-to-back rematch after Sunday’s overtime loss. With Toronto missing key rotation pieces and the 76ers potentially getting Embiid back, this line offers value on the road favorite.
Phoenix is laying 14 points at home against a depleted Wizards squad missing Trae Young. The Suns should win, but can they sustain the focus needed to cover a double-digit spread? Bash breaks down the efficiency gap and finds value on the number.
The Rockets are laying 12.5 points on the road in Sacramento, but with VanVleet out and Sengun questionable, Houston’s depleted rotation faces a Kings team in a desperation home spot. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread is too wide given the current roster realities.
Orlando lays 6.5 at home against a wounded Pelicans squad that’s 3-14 on the road. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Magic’s depth and home-court advantage should be enough to cover against New Orleans’ thin rotation.
Memphis is laying 7 points at home without Ja Morant, and Bryan Bash explains why that number is inflated by at least a possession or two against a Nets team that’s more competent on the road than their record suggests.