Ohio State’s laying 2.5 at home against undefeated Nebraska, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Both teams rank 38th in adjusted net rating, yet the Cornhuskers’ superior defense (32nd vs 52nd) isn’t getting proper respect. Bash breaks down why Nebraska plus the points is the play.
The Lakers are laying 6 points at home against Memphis in a back-to-back spot, and Bryan Bash explains why a compromised Grizzlies team can’t cover against Doncic, Reaves, and LeBron at Crypto.com Arena.
Can Gonzaga’s #2 ranked adjusted efficiency overwhelm the Lions’ defense? We analyze rebounding margins, transition scoring, and the best bet for this Jan 4 West Coast Conference battle.
Seton Hall is laying just 2.5-3 points at home against Creighton, and the efficiency gap says this line is generous to the Bluejays. Bash breaks down why the Pirates’ elite defense and turnover creation should control this Big East battle.
The Thunder are 9-point road favorites in Phoenix, and while that’s a big number, their 30-5 record and elite defense make it justified. Bash breaks down why OKC’s consistency and Shai’s dominance should cover the spread at Mortgage Matchup Center.
South Florida lays 6 to 6.5 points at home against UAB in an AAC matchup. Bash breaks down why the Bulls’ offensive efficiency advantage and UAB’s inability to shoot from deep make this home favorite a strong play despite the Blazers’ elite defense.
Saint Mary’s hosts Seattle U laying 10.5 points in a WCC clash that comes down to efficiency and rebounding. Bash breaks down why the Gaels’ elite defense and massive rebounding edge overcome the pace concerns to deliver a comfortable cover at home.
Cleveland lays 5 points at home against a Pistons team missing Duren, Harris, and LeVert. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Cavaliers’ depth and frontcourt advantage should lead to a comfortable cover at Rocket Arena.
Indiana’s laying 7.5 points at home against Washington, but the efficiency numbers suggest this spread is too low. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Hoosiers’ elite defense and balanced offense should cruise past the Huskies in Big Ten action.
The Spurs are laying 8.5 points at home without Victor Wembanyama, but their depth and home-court advantage make this spread playable against a Portland team missing Jerami Grant. Bryan Bash breaks down why San Antonio’s rotation can cover nearly nine points at the Frost Bank Center.