Joe Jensen

Ohtani’s elite 0.60 ERA against Lambert’s 3.52 creates the obvious mismatch — the steep -225 price is the question. The pick is inside.

Peralta’s dominance meets Lorenzen’s 6.09 ERA disaster at Coors Field. Find out which way this one goes.

Atlanta’s +80 run differential is the kind of gap that doesn’t show up by accident. The moneyline at +120 treats these teams as equals when months of performance data suggests otherwise. The full read is inside.

Chandler’s 97.2 mph fastball meets Rodriguez’s .424 xwOBA changeup struggles. The analysis is inside.

Oracle Park’s run suppression amplifies Webb’s sinker advantage over Buehler’s struggling command. Find out which way this one goes.

Abbott’s 15 walks in 34.2 innings face a Cubs lineup drawing 161 walks this season. The pick is inside.

Rodriguez’s sinker has yielded a devastating .541 xwOBA while deGrom dominates with elite stuff. The breakdown is inside.

Tropicana Field amplifies pitching precision — Rasmussen’s 0.85 WHIP creates an edge the -130 line undervalues. The pick is inside.

The bullpen gap between these two struggling teams matters less than the starting pitching profiles — Bradley’s command trumps Cavalli’s strikeout stuff. The moneyline at -112 hasn’t moved despite Minnesota’s recent collapse creating hesitation about laying runs. Find out which way this one goes.

Valdez’s proven track record meets Moran’s limited sample at Tigers -1.5 (+116). The pick is inside.