Joe Jensen

Astros vs Pirates: Marquee matchup draws sharp money attention. Joe Jensen reveals where professionals find value in tonight’s Skenes vs McCullers pitching duel at PNC Park.

The New York Mets (37-22) bring their three-game win streak to Dodger Stadium to face the Los Angeles Dodgers (36-23) in a battle of National League division leaders. Paul Blackburn makes his 2025 debut for the Mets after returning from injury, while Dustin May (3-4, 4.20 ERA) takes the mound for Los Angeles with something to prove after allowing 8 home runs in his last 6 starts. Is there value in picking the Mets?

The Minnesota Twins (31-27) face the struggling Athletics (23-37) at Sutter Health Park, with Joe Ryan’s elite pitching giving Minnesota a significant edge. Oakland has lost 18 of their last 19 games, creating prime betting opportunities on both the run line and player props. Ryan’s impressive 2.57 ERA and 0.83 WHIP contrast sharply with Oakland’s league-worst bullpen (5.76 ERA). Read on to see how Joe is betting the game.

Logan Webb takes the mound for the Giants against Padres rookie Stephen Kolek in what promises to be a pitching-focused matchup at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park. Despite offensive struggles, the Giants’ stellar 17-9 home record and MLB-best 2.64 ERA in May make them significant favorites (-177) against a Padres team that’s been mediocre on the road (13-14). Webb’s historical dominance against San Diego (2.76 ERA in 12 career starts) and Manny Machado’s struggles against him (.205 average) create multiple betting opportunities, with the Under 7 runs (-110) and Webb Over 6.5 strikeouts (-115) standing out as particularly strong plays. With both teams trending toward low-scoring affairs recently, expect the Giants’ pitching excellence to be the difference in this crucial divisional matchup.

The Los Angeles Angels (26-32) travel to Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox (29-32) in what shapes up as a compelling pitcher’s duel between veteran lefty Tyler Anderson and promising rookie Richard Fitts. Despite both teams sitting fourth in their divisions, this matchup offers intriguing betting value focused on starting pitching and run production potential.

Anderson brings consistency with his 3.39 ERA and excellent changeup, while Fitts has impressed early with a 2.70 ERA and strong command. The pitching advantage, combined with both teams’ recent offensive struggles, points to a lower-scoring affair at Fenway Park. Get our full analysis with picks and best bets.

The surging Brewers (32-28) bring their four-game road winning streak to Great American Ball Park against a Reds team (29-31) with a significant pitching advantage. Brady Singer (6-3, 4.60 ERA) has been exceptional at home this season with a 3.78 ERA, while Milwaukee’s Aaron Civale (0-1, 6.00 ERA) continues to struggle in his limited 2025 action. Check out our top picks inside.

The historically struggling Colorado Rockies (9-50) face the Miami Marlins (23-34) at pitcher-friendly loanDepot park, where Max Meyer’s strikeout potential creates multiple wagering opportunities. With German Marquez’s 8.42 road ERA facing Miami’s improving offense, the Marlins -1.5 run line (+115) offers excellent value against a Colorado team that’s lost by multiple runs in 35 of 50 defeats this season. Check out our recommended bets inside.

After a devastating 18-2 loss, the Yankees (35-22) face an uphill battle against the Dodgers (36-22) with ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto (6-3, 1.97 ERA) taking the mound against Ryan Yarbrough (2-0, 3.06 ERA). This pitching matchup heavily favors Los Angeles, with Yamamoto emerging as a Cy Young contender while Yarbrough typically provides just 5 solid innings. Check out who Joe is betting on tonight.

The Padres (32-24) aim to secure their series win against the visiting Pirates (22-37) in Sunday’s decisive game at Petco Park. With San Diego’s impressive 19-10 home record facing Pittsburgh’s dismal 9-21 road performance, the odds heavily favor the playoff-contending Padres. Both starters—Andrew Heaney (3.41 ERA) and Randy Vasquez (3.58 ERA)—have performed well, but San Diego’s superior offense and dominant bullpen create significant advantages. Get our analysis and top plays and predictions.

The struggling D-backs (27-31) turn to ace Corbin Burnes (3-2, 2.72 ERA) to halt their nine-losses-in-ten-games skid as they face the surprising Nationals (28-30), who ride a four-game winning streak into Chase Field. Despite Arizona’s recent woes, sharp money favors the home team behind Burnes’ dominant 2.11 ERA at home against Washington’s Mitchell Parker (4-4, 4.65 ERA), who struggles significantly on the road (5.31 ERA). Get our recommended picks inside.