Joe Jensen

The surging Mets (34-22) host the struggling Rockies (9-47) in what appears to be a lopsided contest at Citi Field. With David Peterson (3-2, 2.79 ERA) facing Kyle Freeland (0-7, 5.86 ERA), savvy bettors are targeting alternative markets beyond the prohibitive -357 moneyline.

The Mets boast MLB’s second-best home record (21-7) while Colorado has been abysmal on the road (3-25). Peterson has been dominant at Citi Field (2.11 ERA) and faces a Rockies lineup striking out at a 26.8% clip against lefties. Meanwhile, Freeland remains winless in 10 starts with opponents hitting .296 against him.

Our top betting recommendations focus on the run line and player props rather than the moneyline. The Mets -1.5 (-125) offers solid value considering they’ve won by multiple runs in 18 of 21 home victories. For player props, Peterson’s strikeout over (6.5, +105) stands out against a swing-happy Rockies offense that’s averaging nearly 10 strikeouts per road game.

With significant advantages in starting pitching, bullpen performance, and home/road splits, expect New York to handle business comfortably against baseball’s worst team.

Looking for betting value in Friday’s MLB matchup? The Chicago White Sox (18-38) visit the Baltimore Orioles (19-36) in a battle between two struggling teams that offers surprising wagering opportunities. Despite their cellar-dwelling records, this game presents intriguing betting angles with Sean Burke facing Zach Eflin in what could develop into a higher-scoring affair than oddsmakers project.

Our analysis reveals significant value in the total runs market, with the over 9 (-110) standing out as our top play. The game also offers appealing player props, particularly Ryan O’Hearn over 1.5 total bases (+125), who has been one of Baltimore’s few bright spots this season.

With both pitchers showing vulnerability – Burke’s control issues (5.0 BB/9) and Eflin’s home run problems (1.9 HR/9) – and weather conditions favoring hitters at Camden Yards, expect offensive production from both struggling teams. Our prediction points to a competitive 6-5 Orioles victory, making the White Sox +1.5 run line (+115) another strong consideration for savvy bettors.

Looking for a high-value MLB bet today? The Cincinnati Reds (+144) visit the NL Central-leading Chicago Cubs with ace Andrew Abbott (1.77 ERA) taking the mound against Colin Rea. Despite Chicago’s impressive six-game home winning streak, Abbott’s dominance provides Cincinnati with legitimate upset potential. The elite left-hander hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start this season and boasts a stellar 9.9 K/9 rate that creates multiple betting opportunities. With afternoon winds blowing in at Wrigley and Abbott’s track record against Chicago (2-0, 1.23 ERA in three career starts), both the Reds moneyline and the Under 8.5 runs offer compelling value. Dynamic shortstop Elly De La Cruz provides additional firepower for Cincinnati against Rea’s vulnerable 1.29 WHIP. Smart bettors should recognize this pitching mismatch is significantly wider than the betting line suggests.

Get our best bet for Rays vs. Astros today! We dive into the moneyline odds, run line, and total, offering a sharp prediction for this matchup at pitcher-friendly Daikin Park. Free MLB picks and top prop considerations.

Washington’s MacKenzie Gore (13.4 K/9) faces Seattle’s struggling Emerson Hancock (5.95 ERA) in tonight’s (May 29) rubber match. Joe’s analysis and predictions dives into whether Gore’s K-prop is a tasty plus-money pick and if the Nats can snag the series on the road.

Today’s Dodgers at Guardians (May 28) game features Kershaw’s return against a Cleveland team in pitching disarray. Our capper’s betting preview breaks down the sharp money moves on the total and if Ohtani’s total bases prop is a smart pick.

The Twins and Rays are set for a rubber match showdown this afternoon, May 28th, featuring a mouth-watering pitching matchup: Pablo Lopez vs. Drew Rasmussen. Both these guys can sling it. Read on to get our top picks.

Can the Red Sox avoid a sweep with Brayan Bello on the hill against Freddy Peralta and the red-hot Brewers (May 28)? MLB capper Joe Jensen digs into the betting odds, Peralta’s K-prop, and whether the under is a sneaky good prediction.

Can the Giants’ Landen Roupp outduel the Tigers’ Jackson Jobe at Comerica (May 28)? Or will Detroit’s hot offense and Riley Greene stay scorching for the sweep? Get Joe’s free picks inside.

With Shane Smith dealing for the Sox (despite no help from his offense) against the Mets’ Griffin Canning (May 28), runs should be a premium. Our prediction is all over the Under, but Shane Smith’s strikeout prop also looks like a tasty pick.