Joe Jensen

Is there any value in Colorado +1.5 runs? They’re just 6-30 on the road while Atlanta has dominated the series 4-1. With Gomber making his season debut against a Braves squad with Acuña hitting .387, this runline screams Atlanta.

The public are all over Detroit’s MLB-best 29-10 home record, but Cincinnati’s offense has exploded for 5+ runs in six of eight games. With Wade Miley (9.00 ERA) facing inexperienced Gipson-Long, Tigers’ 8-15 record as heavy home favorites screams upset potential.

Our Guardians-Mariners prediction is all about the starters’ conflicting trends. See how we’re betting on the duel between the consistent Tanner Bibee and the struggling George Kirby.

Our Padres-D’backs prediction is all about fading a struggling ace. See why Zac Gallen’s surprising home struggles create a huge betting opportunity tonight.

Our Yankees-Red Sox prediction focuses on a classic revenge spot. See our expert pick as the Yankees look to even the series with their ace on the hill.

Our Twins vs. Astros prediction is all about the elite arms on the mound. See our expert pick for a game that promises to be a classic pitcher’s duel.

The so called experts say Spencer Strider (0-5, 5.40 ERA) can’t find his form, but facing baseball’s worst road team (6-29) could change everything. Colorado’s Dollander (6.85 ERA) against Atlanta’s resurgent offense screams mismatch, yet this line movement tells a different story.

The odds favor the Mets (-138), but Tampa’s Rasmussen (2.22 ERA) has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 9 of 12 starts. Despite New York’s 27-8 home record, the Rays are 7-3 in their last 10. This line screams underdog value.

The books see Quintana’s 2.66 ERA as dominant, but St. Louis desperately needs to snap a six-game skid. Milwaukee’s 22-14 home record against the Cardinals’ dismal 14-20 road mark screams advantage, yet this modest -124 line doesn’t add up.

Today’s White Sox-Rangers betting pick ignores the massive moneyline. We’ve found value in a different market based on the huge pitching mismatch.