Baylor at Oklahoma State Total Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 27, 2023 | cbb

Baylor (21-8 SU 15-13 ATS) vs. Oklahoma State (16-13 SU 16-13 ATS)
When: Monday, February 27th: 9:00 ET
Where: Gallagher-Iba Arena Stillwater, OK
Point Spread: BU -1.5/OSU +1.5 (STOP betting games at -110 odds! You’re overpaying! Start laying only -105 TODAY at BetAnySports! 3 minutes to sign up will save you THOUSANDS of dollars!)
Total: 143.0
Money Line: Baylor Bears -127/Oklahoma State Cowboys +104

The Baylor bears travel to Stillwater, OK, to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Figuring out which Cowboys team will show up will be the key to cashing your tickets on this game. Oklahoma State has lost four straight after winning four straight. Our expert CBB capper Rich Crew digs into to the numbers and gives out his projected spread winner.

Line Movement

The Bears opened as high as -2.5 at a couple of sportsbooks but was quickly bet down to -1.5 /-1, where it is holding steady. The total has been dropping, sliding down to 142 points after some shops opening the line as high as 143.5.

Last Game Info

Baylor picked up a victory over Texas by a score of 81-72. Heading into the game, the Bears were favored to win, with a point spread of -4.5. The combined 153 points finished above the 148.5 total line.

Going into their last game, Oklahoma State was the betting favorite at -3.5 but fell to Kansas State by a score of 73-68. The combined 141 points did not surpass the 144 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Baylor has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bears’ offense averages 73.6 points per game while hitting 46.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 48.3% from the field while allowing 73.8 points per contest.

Oklahoma State
In their previous five contests, Oklahoma State is 1-4 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 70.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.7%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 50.0% of their shots while giving up 80.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Baylor’s opponents comes in at 86.3. Conversely, Oklahoma State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 85.7.

How Does Baylor Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bears have played 12 road games and have a record of 6-6. In these contests, Baylor is 4-7 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 70.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.8%. On defense, the Bears allow 74.9 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.9% in these games.

How Does Oklahoma State Fare At Home?

In their 16 games at home, Oklahoma State has an 11-5 record vs. the spread while going 12-4 straight-up. On offense, the Cowboys are shooting 46.5% on their home floor, leading to 71.7 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.3% in these contests. The Oklahoma State defense is allowing 63.4 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Baylor is averaging 76.5 points per game (57th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Oklahoma State defense that has allowed an average of 66.5 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.3% of their shots vs. Oklahoma State. Conversely, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are coming into the game averaging 68.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.4%. The Cowboys will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. the Bears.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Baylor has a shooting percentage of 34.5% while ranking 280th in attempts per game. The Bears will be facing an Oklahoma State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.6%. Oklahoma State enters the game having hit 29.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 5.37 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Baylor has allowed opponents to hit 31.5% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Keyonte George (Questionable) Ankle
  • Dantwan Grimes (Out) Redshirt

Oklahoma State

  • Avery Anderson III (Out) Wrist

Pick Against The Line

I play a lot of Unders, and this game will be no different. The Cowboy’s defense has fallen off since conference play started, but they still do a decent job at home. The Bears, like many teams, have their scoring output drop on the road and have failed to exceed 72 points in their last five. Both teams are dealing with injuries that impact the offensive side of the ball with Keyonte George questionable for Baylor and Avery Anderson III out for Oklahoma St. Take the Under 142. Bet your NCAA basketball predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook! Free loot is good loot!