CBB Picks: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Indiana Hoosiers (16-13 SU, 14-14-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (18-11 SU, 22-6-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, March 6th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Williams Arena, MN, Minneapolis

TV: BTN

Point Spread: IND +5/MINNST -5

Total: 150

Money Line: Indiana Hoosiers +182/-225

Notable Injuries

Hoosiers

• Shaan Burke (Out) Undisclosed
• CJ Gunn (Questionable) Undisclosed
• Jordan Rayford (Out) Lower Body
• Jakai Newton (Out) Knee

Golden Gophers

• Braeden Carrington (Questionable) Concussion
• Erick Reader (Out) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Indiana is coming off an 83-78 win against Maryland and has won two straight games. Over their last 10 road games, the Hoosiers are 4-6, and they are 4-7 this season on the road.

Indiana has been the underdog in 15 games this season, going 5-10 in those contests. So far, they have been the underdog in 15 of their 29 games.

Today’s over/under line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in Indiana’s games this season (145.5). Currently, the over/under record for the Hoosiers this year is 17-12. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

As the underdog, Indiana has gone 8-7 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Hoosiers’ ATS mark is 5-5-1 and they are 14-14-1 overall. Their ATS record is 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog and 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games.

Minnesota comes into this game with an 18-11 record, including a 9-9 mark in Big Ten play. The Golden Gophers have been much better at home, going 16-3 compared to 2-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.7, and they have won their last five games at home.

Overall, Minnesota has been the favorite in 14 of their 29 games, going 13-1 in those contests. They are coming off a 75-70 victory over Penn State and have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season sits at 16-13, and today’s line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (144.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Minnesota has been solid against the spread this season, going 22-6-1. They have been even better vs. the spread at home, going 15-3-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Golden Gophers have gone 8-2 vs. the spread.

Analysis

Indiana is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 83 points vs. Maryland. This figure is more than their season average of 73.2 points per game. Leading Indiana in scoring vs. Maryland was Mackenzie Mgbako with his 24 points. Malik Reneau also added 14 points for the Hoosiers.

So far, the Hoosiers’ defense is ranked 252nd in the country at 75.1 points per contest. Against Maryland, the Hoosiers’ defense gave up 78 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Maryland only made 9 free-throws.

The Minnesota offense is coming off a game where they scored 75 points against Penn State. They posted a field goal percentage of 46% and connected on 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Cam Christie with 19 points. Elijah Hawkins also added 18 points for the Golden Gophers.

The Golden Gophers’ defense is presently ranked 140th nationally, allowing an average of 71.0 points per contest. So far, the Minnesota defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (533rd).

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Hoosiers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
• Across their last three home contests, Minnesota has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 76 points per game.
• Indiana has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
• As the betting favorite, the Golden Gophers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Rich Crew’s Total Pick

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