College Basketball Picks

Nick Martinelli remains a force, but the loss of key rotation players for both sides has tested bench depth. We break down the against the spread movement and why Finley Bizjack’s scoring efficiency makes the Bulldogs the definitive free pick for today’s afternoon tip-off.

Purdue enters with a top-10 offensive rating, but they face an Auburn squad that thrives on transition and disruptive defense. We analyze the point spread and why the Boilermakers’ systematic execution—averaging over 20 assists per game—creates a major challenge for a Tigers defense that has struggled away from home this season.

The Buckeyes just survived a double-overtime thriller, while the Tar Heels have cruised through their last four outings. Discover why the total pick of 154.5 and the contrast between Ohio State’s #32 scoring offense and UNC’s #23 scoring defense provide the statistical edge for tonight’s best bet.

Providence is laying 2.5 at home against 9-1 Seton Hall, but the market is missing the massive defensive gap. Bash breaks down why the Pirates’ suffocating defense and tempo control makes them the play in this Big East clash.

Saint Mary’s lays 13.5 at home against Florida Atlantic, and the efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. The Gaels rank 19th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while FAU sits at 112th. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.

Wisconsin’s laying 5.5 against Villanova on a neutral court, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story than the spread suggests. Both teams rank nearly identical in adjusted metrics, and Wisconsin’s 315th-ranked defensive rating is being severely underpriced.

Davidson’s 5.5-point home spread against Temple looks light when you examine the efficiency gap. The Wildcats rank 27th nationally in three-point shooting at 38.8%, while Temple ranks 333rd in three-point defense. Bash breaks down why this strength-on-weakness matchup favors laying the points with the Wildcats.

The Bulldogs are a perfect 6-0 at home this season and have already recorded multiple 30-plus point victories. We break down the total pick and why the 167.5 over/under number suggests a high-possession track meet that favors Georgia’s athletic depth.

VCU lays 21.5 against American University at the Siegel Center, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the massive spread makes sense when a top-40 program hosts a Patriot League opponent with a 111-spot gap in adjusted net efficiency.

Bradley lays 4.5 points on the road at Indiana State, and this number feels light. The Braves’ defensive efficiency (61st nationally) and ability to force turnovers against a Sycamores team that ranks 287th in turnovers per game creates a significant edge that the spread doesn’t fully reflect.