Creighton at Providence Expert Pick & Analysis 2/14/23

Creighton (17-8 SU 12-13 ATS) vs. Providence (18-7 SU 15-10 ATS)
When: Tuesday, February 14th: 7:00 ET
Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion Providence, RI
TV: FS1
Point Spread: CU -2/Prov +2 (Bet it FREE! Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)
Total: 140.5
Money Line: Jay -136/Friars +112

The Creighton Bluejays head to Providence, RI, to take on the Providence Friars in an excellent Tuesday college hoops game. The Bluejays, who have strung together seven straight wins, are a two-point road favorite with a total line of 141.5 points. Read on to get Crew’s analysis and a free Creighton/Providence pick.

Line Movement

This match opened with Creighton as a -2.5 favorite and has slid to -2 on most betting shops, and some -1.5s are starting to pop up. The O/U line has been on the decline, originally opening at 141 and now down to 140 points.

Last Game Info

Creighton is coming off a 56-53 win over Connecticut. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as a -4.5 point favorite. The combined 109 points did not surpass the 143.5 total line.

Going into their last game, Providence was the betting favorite at -5 but fell to St. John’s by a score of 73-68. The combined 141 points did not surpass the 155.5 total line.

Current Form

Creighton
Over their last five games, Creighton has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bluejays’ offense averages 68.8 points per game while hitting 46.7% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 39.6% from the field while allowing 59.2 points per contest.

Providence
In their previous five contests, Providence is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 74.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.2%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.3% of their shots while giving up 68.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Creighton’s opponents comes in at 83.9. On the other side, Providence’s combined opponent power rating sits at 80.

How Does Creighton Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bluejays have played 11 road games and have a record of 5-6. In these contests, Creighton is 6-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 73.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.8%. On defense, the Bluejays allow 71.2 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.2% in these games.

How Does Providence Fare At Home?

In their 14 games at home, Providence has an 8-6 record vs. the spread while going 13-1 straight-up. On offense, the Friars are shooting 47.7% on their home floor, leading to 82.6 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.6% in these contests. The Providence defense is allowing 67.1 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Creighton is averaging 69.0 points per game (262nd), while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.0%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Providence defense that has allowed an average of 68.8 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.8% of their shots vs. Providence. On the other side, the Providence Friars are coming into the game averaging 71.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.7%. The Friars will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 66.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. the Bluejays.

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Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Creighton has a shooting percentage of 30.7% while ranking 367th in attempts per game. The Bluejays will be facing a Providence defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.8%. Providence enters the game having hit 34.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.3 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Creighton has allowed opponents to hit 34.2% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Creighton

• Francisco Farabello (Questionable) Illness
• John Christofilis (Out) Redshirt
• Jasen Green (Out) Redshirt

Providence

• Quante Berry (Out) Undisclosed

Pick Against The Line

I like the Under here. The biggest factor in Creighton’s 8-game win streak was an improved defense. They held all but St. John’s to 67 points or fewer and have been ultra-stingy in their last five holding its opposition to 59.2 points per game on 39.4% shooting. Providence’s D hasn’t been impressive in recent games, but at home, they have held four of their last five Big East rivals to 64 points or fewer. The earlier meeting came in at 140, and that’s basically the number I’m getting here, but I believe the recent form supports a lower number. Take the Under 140.5. Bet your college basketball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% rea cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at Bovada! The best bookmaker on the planet! Their live wagering platform is the BEST! Tons of games, it’s not clunky like most other sites and has high limits! They have a HUGE betting menu and offer TONS of props on every game! And they pay FAST! Click here to check them out!