Creighton Blue Jays vs. San Diego State Aztecs Point Spread Pick

by | Last updated Mar 26, 2023 | cbb

Creighton (21-12 SU 19-17 ATS) vs. San Diego State (27-6 SU 18-16 ATS)
When: Sunday, March 26th: 2:20 ET
Where: KFC Yum! Center Louisville, KY
Point Spread: CU -2/SDST +2
Total: 134.5
Money Line: Creighton Bluejays -143/San Diego State Aztecs +119

On Sunday, March 26th, the Creighton Bluejays (21-12 SU, 19-17 ATS) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (27-6 SU, 18-16 ATS) at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY. The game is set to start at 2:20 ET and will be televised on CBS. The point spread currently favors Creighton at -2, with San Diego State listed as +2 underdogs. The total line is set at 134.5. Moneyline bettors can get the Creighton Bluejays at -143, while the San Diego State Aztecs are listed at +119.

Line Movement

The Bluejays opened at -1.5 and have been bet up to as high as -2.5. The total hit some boards as low as -132.5 and has risen a full two points to 134.5.

Last Game Info

Creighton picked up a victory over Princeton by a score of 86-75. Heading into the game, the Bluejays were favored to win, with a point spread of -9.5. The combined 161 points finished above the 140.5 total line.

San Diego State will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Alabama by a score of 71-64. The Aztecs also picked up an ATS victory as they were +7 point underdogs. The combined 135 points did not surpass the 137.5 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Creighton has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bluejays’ offense averages 79.4 points per game while hitting 46.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.2% from the field while allowing 72.8 points per contest.

San Diego State
In their previous five contests, San Diego State is 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 63.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 39.3%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 37.7% of their shots while giving up 56.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Creighton’s opponents comes in at 84.4. On the other side, San Diego State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 82.2.

How Does Creighton Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Bluejays are 6-4 in games on neutral courts.

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How Does San Diego State Fare On Neutral Courts?

On neutral courts, the Aztecs put together a mark of 7-3 this season.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Creighton is averaging 69.0 points per game (262nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.0%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a San Diego State defense that has allowed an average of 63.6 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.4% of their shots vs. San Diego State. Conversely, the San Diego State Aztecs are coming into the game averaging 65.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.3%. The Aztecs will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. the Bluejays.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Creighton has a shooting percentage of 30.7% while ranking 367th in attempts per game. The Bluejays will be facing a San Diego State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 28.4%. San Diego State enters the game having hit 35.8% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.03 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Creighton has allowed opponents to hit 34.7% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • John Christofilis (Out) Redshirt
  • Mason Miller (Questionable) Leg
  • Jasen Green (Out) Redshirt

San Diego State

  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

I love Creighton Sunday! San Diego State has some nice pieces but REALLY struggles to score the ball on offense. I’ve watched numerous SDSU games this season, and their flow is incredibly poor, involving a bunch of one-on-one action and missed shots (not to mention missed free throws). My one fear is that they do defend the three-point line well. I’m still comfortable with laying -2 with Creighton, though, who beat these same Aztecs last season despite shooting only 14% from behind the arc.

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