Davidson vs. Fordham Betting Preview: ATS Trends, Picks, and Game Analysis

by | Last updated Mar 12, 2024 | cbb

Davidson Wildcats (15-16 SU, 14-15 ATS) vs. Fordham Rams (12-19 SU, 13-18 ATS)

When: Tuesday, March 12th, 11:30 PM (ET)

Where: Barclays Center, NY, Brooklyn

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: DAVID -3.5/FORDM +3.5

Total: 134

Money Line: Davidson Wildcats -173/+142

Notable Injuries

Wildcats

  • N/A>

Rams

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Recent Form

Davidson comes into this game with a 15-16 record, including a 5-13 mark in Atlantic 10 play. The Wildcats have lost five straight games and are just 6-9 on the road this season.

For the year, Davidson has been favored in 14 of its 31 games, going 8-6 in those matchups. The team’s average scoring margin on the road sits at -2.4 points per game.

Davidson’s over/under record for the season is 12-17, and today’s line of 134 is lower than the average OU line in their games (138.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

This season, Davidson has an ATS record of 14-15, including a mark of 9-6 vs. the spread on the road. As the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 6-8 vs. the spread this year and are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Despite being the underdog, Fordham has been the underdog in 19 of their 31 games this season and has gone 7-12 in those games. They have gone 7-13 at home this season and are coming off a 58-50 loss to Rhode Island. Over their last 10 games at home, the Rams have gone 3-7.

For the season, Fordham has gone 12-19, including a 6-12 record in Atlantic 10 Conference play. They have gone 5-6 on the road this season and have lost their last four games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -4.6 points per game.

Today’s over/under line of 134 for the Fordham-Davidson game is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (142.5). On the year, the over/under record in their games is 17-14. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 129 points.

As the underdog, Fordham has a 9-10 record vs. the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is just 6-14. However, they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home contests.

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Analysis

In their latest game, Davidson offense put up 71 points against Saint Joseph’s. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.3% and made 6 threes. Leading Davidson in scoring vs. Saint Joseph’s was Reed Bailey with his 19 points. Grant Huffman also added 15 points for the Wildcats.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 66th in the country, permitting 67.8 points per game. Davidson’s three-point defense is currently 151st in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.1% of their shots vs. Davidson.

Coming off their recent game, the Fordham offense tallied 50 points in a matchup against Rhode Island. Their field goal percentage for the game was 27%, and they made 7 threes. Coming into the game, the Ram’s offense has struggled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 25.5 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14 made free throws.

Fordham’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Rhode Island, the Rams finished with a field goal percentage of 27% and a total of 58 points vs. Fordham.

Betting Trends

  • Although Davidson has a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 72 points per game in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Rams have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 62 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Rams have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Wildcats have a SU record of 5-5. But their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Crew’s Total Pick

Take the Under 134.5

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