Expert Betting Preview and Pick: San Diego State vs. Alabama
San Diego State (27-6 SU 17-16 ATS) vs. Alabama (29-5 SU 21-15 ATS)
When: Friday, March 24th: 6:30 ET
Where: KFC Yum! Center Louisville, KY
TV: TBS
Point Spread: SDST +7.5/UA -7.5
Total: 137.0
Money Line: San Diego State Aztecs +266/Alabama Crimson Tide -344
In Friday Sweet 16 action, the San Diego State Aztecs will face the Alabama Crimson Tide in a highly anticipated matchup at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY. The point spread for this game is set at SDST +7.5/UA -7.5, with a total line of 137.0. The Aztecs are currently listed as +266 underdogs on the money line, while the Crimson Tide are favored at -344.
Line Movement
The Tide opened as low as -6.5 on some boards before being bet up to -8 and now falling back to -7.5. The total for this game hit the board at 135.5 and now has had some sharp money drive the line up to 137.5.
Last Game Info
San Diego State picked up a victory over Furman by a score of 75-52. Heading into the game, the Aztecs were favored to win, with a point spread of -4.5. The combined 127 points did not surpass the 135 total line.
Alabama picked up a victory over Maryland by a score of 73-51. Heading into the game, the Crimson Tide were favored to win, with a point spread of -8.5. The combined 124 points did not surpass the 142.5 total line.
Current Form
San Diego State
Over their last five games, San Diego State has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Aztecs’ offense averages 63.4 points per game while hitting 39.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 37.7% from the field while allowing 56.6 points per contest.
Alabama
In their previous five contests, Alabama is 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 75.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 34.9% of their shots while giving up 65.0 points per game.
Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played
This season, the combined power rating of San Diego State’s opponents comes in at 81.8. On the other side, Alabama’s combined opponent power rating sits at 85.1.
How Does San Diego State Fare On Neutral Courts?
This season, the Aztecs are 6-3 in games on neutral courts.
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How Does Alabama Fare On Neutral Courts?
This season, the Crimson Tide are 7-2 in games on neutral courts.
Offense vs. Defense
For the season, San Diego State is averaging 65.3 points per game (374th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Alabama defense that has allowed an average of 68.5 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 37.2% of their shots vs. Alabama. On the other side, the Alabama Crimson Tide are coming into the game averaging 80.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.1%. The Crimson Tide will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 63.6 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.4% of their shots vs. the Aztecs.
Three-Point Shooting
From beyond the arc, San Diego State has a shooting percentage of 35.8% while ranking 622nd in attempts per game. The Aztecs will be facing an Alabama defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.0%. Alabama enters the game having hit 30.8% of their looks from deep while averaging 9.28 made 3’s per game. On the other end, San Diego State has allowed opponents to hit 28.4% of their shots from beyond the arc.
Injuries Of Note
San Diego State
- No Reported Injuries
Alabama
- Brandon Miller (Probable) Groin
Pick Against The Spread
The Alabama Crimson Tide have been absolutely disposing of their opponents as of late. To allow only 32.9% field goal percentage from the field over a team’s last five games is one thing, but to do it in a playoff/tournament format is absolutely off the rails. The Aztecs are offensively challenged and are only shooting 40% from the field as of late. Alabama is going to crush them! I’m laying the points. Roll Tide!
