Final Four Picks: Miami (FL) vs. UConn

by | Last updated Mar 31, 2023 | cbb

Miami (FL) (25-7 SU 22-13 ATS) vs. Connecticut (25-8 SU 25-12 ATS)
When: Saturday, April 1st: 8:49 ET
Where: NRG Stadium Houston, TX
Point Spread: UM +5.5/UConn -5.5 (Deposit $200 and get $100 FREE at Bovada! – Best live betting platform on the planet!)
Total: 149.5
Money Line: Mia +199/Con -246

Line Movement

Last Game Info

Miami (FL) will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Texas by a score of 88-81. The Hurricanes also picked up an ATS victory as they were +3.5 point underdogs. The combined 169 points finished above the 147 total line.

Connecticut picked up a victory over Gonzaga by a score of 82-54. Heading into the game, the Huskies were favored to win, with a point spread of -2.5. The combined 136 points did not surpass the 154 total line.

Current Form

Miami (FL)
Over their last five games, Miami (FL) has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs the spread. Over this stretch, the Hurricanes’ offense is averaging 78.0 points per game while hitting 48.0% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 48.3% from the field while allowing 77.6 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Connecticut is 4-1 straight-up and 4-1 vs the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 79.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.6%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 41.2% of their shots while giving up 68.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Miami (FL)’s opponents comes in at 83.6. On the other side, Connecticut’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.1.

How Does Miami (FL) Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Hurricanes are 6-2 in games on neutral courts.

How Does Connecticut Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Huskies are 8-1 in games on neutral courts.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Miami (FL) is averaging 74.8 points per game (89th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Connecticut defense that has allowed an average of 65.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.9% of their shots vs Connecticut. On the other side, the Connecticut Huskies are coming into the game averaging 75.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.6%. The Huskies will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 72.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. the Hurricanes.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Miami (FL) has a shooting percentage of 35.0% while ranking 423rd in attempts per game. The Hurricanes will be facing a Connecticut defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.3%. Connecticut enters the game, having hit 35.4% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.44 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to hit 33.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Miami (FL)

  • No Reported Injuries


  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

The Miami Hurricanes showed some weakness against Texas and then came storming back to crush the Longhorns. On one hand it exposes their inconsistency. On the other, it shows that they can overcome adversity. They won’t be able to make that same mistake against the Connecticut Huskies, as they’re solid on both sides of the ball and have much better poise than the Horns. I’m laying the points and expecting a double digit win by UConn!

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