Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten Final Pick

Iowa Hawkeyes (25-9 SU, 21-13-0 ATS) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (27-6 SU, 13-19-1 ATS)
When: Sunday March 13 2022, 3:30 PM PM (ET)
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Point Spread: Iowa +1/Purdue -1 (BetOnline)
Total: 147.5
Money Line: Hawkeyes +111/Purdue -135

Key Injuries

Iowa Iowa has no reported injuries at this time.

Purdue Brian Waddell: Knee (OUT)

Recent Form

The Iowa Hawkeyes come into this matchup with an overall record of 25-9. On the season, the Hawkeyes have performed well in their 23 conference games, posting a record of 15-8. This mark is good for 4th in the Big 10. In addition to playing well in the Big 10, Iowa has performed well on the road. Through 16 games, the Hawkeyes are 10-6 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Hawkeyes are looking to stay hot, as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The Purdue Boilermakers get set to host the Hawkeyes with an overall record of 27-6. On the season, the Boilermakers have performed well in their 22 conference games, posting a record of 16-6. This mark is good for 3rd in the Big 10. In this Big 10 Conference Championship game, the Boilermakers are looking for their 4th straight win.

For the season, the Iowa Hawkeyes are averaging 84.0 points per game, good for a rank of 4th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Hawkeyes’ scoring average drops to 76 points per contest. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 3.0 points per game. On the other side, the Purdue Boilermakers are the 6th ranked scoring offense, averaging 80.2 points while giving up an average of 68.6.

Efficiency Outlook

Iowa take on the Boilermakers holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 69.0 points per 70.0 possessions.(NCAA Average) compared to Purdue at 70.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Hawkeyes have a record of 17-4. Even though Purdue trails Iowa on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Boilermakers are 27-6 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 12.0.

In this matchup between the Hawkeyes and the Boilermakers, both teams are near the NCAA average in their percentage of points coming from made three-pointers. So far, Purdue has been more efficient on these shots, connecting on 39.5% compared to 37.1% for Iowa.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
• Boilermakers are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Boilermakers are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

Both teams shoot it well and have holes on defense. Purdue has taken three out of the last four matchups, however, they tend to play lower scoring games this year and may not be able to score with the Hawkeyes. Bookies like Iowa as well, as evidenced by the public betting the heck out of the Boilermakers and the Iowa line standing pat at +2. This game doesn’t offer much wagering value, but if you have to bet it, take the Hawkeyes to win a game that will be uneasy throughout.