Kansas State vs. Michigan State Expert Predictions & Analysis

by | Last updated Mar 21, 2023 | cbb

Michigan State Spartans (19-12 SU 17-16 ATS) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (23-9 SU 22-12 ATS)
When: Thursday, March 23rd: 6:30 ET
Where: Madison Square Garden New York, NY
TV: TBS
Point Spread: MSU -1.5/KSU +1.5 (This should be a GREAT game to live bet! Have you seen the incredible live wagering platform at Bovada? It’s off the rails!)
Total: 137.5
Money Line: Mich. St. -136/Kansas St. +110

The Michigan State Spartans will face off against the Kansas State Wildcats on Thursday, March 23rd, at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. The game will air on TBS at 6:30 PM ET. As of now, the point spread for the game is Michigan State -1.5/Kansas State +1.5, and the total is set at 137.5. If you’re looking to bet on the money line, the Michigan State Spartans are favored at -136, while the Kansas State Wildcats are the underdogs at +110.

Line Movement

The Wildcats opened as a small -1 favorite, but Spartans money has driven the line up to as high as -2 in favor of MSU. The total has risen, opening at 137.5 and climbing to 138.5.

Last Game Info

Michigan State will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Marquette by a score of 69-60. The Spartans also picked up an ATS victory as they were +3 point underdogs. The combined 129 points did not surpass the 139.5 total line.

Kansas State will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Kentucky by a score of 75-69. The Wildcats also picked up an ATS victory as they were +3 point underdogs. The combined 144 points finished above the 142 total line.

Current Form

Michigan State
Over their last five games, Michigan State has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Spartans’ offense averages 81.6 points per game while hitting 49.0% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 48.5% from the field while allowing 78.0 points per contest.

Kansas State
In their previous five contests, Kansas State is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 76.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.8%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 43.2% of their shots while giving up 74.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Michigan State’s opponents comes in at 86.4. Conversely, Kansas State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 85.6.

How Does Michigan State Fare On Neutral Courts?

This season, the Spartans are 5-3 in games on neutral courts.

Get $60 of FREE member picks & predictions

(NO commitments. NO Credit Card. NO Salesman.)

How Does Kansas State Fare On Neutral Courts?

The Wildcats are 5-1 in games on neutral courts this season.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Michigan State is averaging 72.1 points per game (168th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Kansas State defense that has allowed an average of 69.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.2% of their shots vs. Kansas State. On the other side, the Kansas State Wildcats are coming into the game averaging 69.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.0%. The Wildcats will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.4 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.1% of their shots vs. the Spartans.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Michigan State has a shooting percentage of 37.8% while ranking 533rd in attempts per game. The Spartans will be facing a Kansas State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.7%. Kansas State enters the game having hit 34.6% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.42 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Michigan State has allowed opponents to hit 31.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Michigan State

  • No Reported Injuries

Kansas State

  • Jerrell Colbert (Out) Redshirt
  • Taj Manning (Out) Redshirt
  • Anthony Thomas (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Spread

Michigan State is excellent at three-point shooting, which will help them score more points and stretch the defense. They move the ball well, leading to better shot opportunities for the team. The Spartans are also strong on the glass, especially their defensive rebounding, which should limit KSU from getting extra chances to score. Their defense has forced more turnovers, giving them, in theory, extra possessions to score. Michigan State’s defense is also good at limiting opponents’ shooting percentages, which should keep Kansas State’s scoring under control. Take Michigan State -1.5

Bet your hoops picks for FREE this week by scoring a 125% real cash bonus AND get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite team by entering bonus code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!