Kansas vs. TCU Total Pick & Analysis 2/20/23

by | Feb 20, 2023 | cbb

Kansas (22-5 SU 13-14 ATS) vs. TCU (18-9 SU 14-12 ATS)
When: Monday, February 20th: 9:00 ET
Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena Fort Worth, TX
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: KU +1.5/TCU -1.5 (Stop wasting money! STOP betting on games at -110 odds! Lay only -105 at the web’s lowest priced odds bookie –> BetAnySports!)
Total: 149.5
Money Line: Kansas Jayhawks +105/TCU Horned Frogs -128

The Kansas Jayhawks visit the TCU Horned Frogs in what should be an excellent game. The college betting board lists the TCU as a -2 home favorite, with the total offered at 149.5 points. Rich Crew digs into the numbers and gives out his KAN/TCU total pick.

Line Movement:

This game opened with the host Horned Frogs as a -1.5 home favorite but has since gone up a half point to -2 against the public action. The O/U line hit the odds board at 150.5 and has since dropped a point to 149.5.

Last Game Info

Kansas picked up a victory over Baylor by a score of 87-71. Heading into the game, the Jayhawks were favored to win, with a point spread of -5. The combined 158 points finished above the 149 total line.

TCU picked up a victory over Oklahoma State by a score of 100-75. Heading into the game, the Horned Frogs were favored to win, with a point spread of -6.5. The combined 175 points finished above the 141.5 total line.

Current Form

Kansas
Over their last five games, Kansas has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Jayhawks’ offense averages 78.6 points per game while hitting 49.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 44.7% from the field while allowing 70.0 points per contest.

TCU
In their previous five contests, TCU is 1-4 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 72.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 48.0% of their shots while giving up 75.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Kansas’ opponents comes in at 87.4. Conversely, TCU’s combined opponent power rating sits at 83.4.

How Does Kansas Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Jayhawks have played 11 road games and have a record of 7-4. In these contests, Kansas is 7-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 73.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.7%. On defense, the Jayhawks allow 68.5 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 41.8% in these games.

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How Does TCU Fare At Home?

In their 18 games at home, TCU has a 10-7 record vs. the spread while going 15-3 straight-up. On offense, the Horned Frogs are shooting 47.4% on their home floor, leading to 78.4 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 40.4% in these contests. The TCU defense is allowing 62.9 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Kansas is averaging 78.6 points per game (31st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 48.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a TCU defense that has allowed an average of 67.3 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.5% of their shots vs. TCU. On the other side, the TCU Horned Frogs are coming into the game averaging 68.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.1%. The Horned Frogs will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.3 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. the Jayhawks.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Kansas has a shooting percentage of 35.5% while ranking 473rd in attempts per game. The Jayhawks will be facing a TCU defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.5%. TCU enters the game, hitting 30.4% of their looks from deep while averaging 5.59 made threes per game. On the other end, Kansas has allowed opponents to hit 31.8% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Kansas

  • Cam Martin (Out) Shoulder
  • Zach Clemence (Out) Knee
  • Kyle Cuffe Jr. (Out) Knee
  • Charlie McCarthy (Out) Undisclosed
  • Wilder Evers (Out) Foot

TCU

  • Rondel Walker (Questionable) Arm

Pick Against The Spread

The Horned Frogs held the Jayhawks to just 60 points in the earlier meeting back in Kansas. That was the second-lowest scoring total for Kansas this season. They’ve averaged 75.36 against Big 12 competition and statistically are on top of their game offensively right now. TCU put up 83 in that same game, and while I don’t think that they’ll repeat the 100 scored against OKST in their latest, it proved that when they are healthy, they can put up good numbers. Take the Over 149.5. Bet your college hoops predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 in free bets at the web’s best sportsbook –> Bovada! They have the BEST live wagering platform on the web and TONS of prop bets!