Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Pick ATS

by | Last updated Mar 12, 2022 | cbb

Michigan State Spartans (22-11 SU, 17-16-0 ATS) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (26-6 SU, 13-18-1 ATS)

When: Saturday March 12 2022, 3:30 PM PM (ET)

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Point Spread: Michigan State +6/Purdue -6 (BetNow – Offers a 100% bonus up to $1000!)

Total: 143.5

Money Line: Spartans +227/Purdue -283

Key Injuries

Michigan State
Michigan St has no reported injuries at this time.

Brian Waddell: Knee (OUT)

Recent Form

The Michigan State Spartans come into this matchup with an overall record of 22-11. On the season, the Spartans have performed well in their 22 conference games, posting a record of 13-9. This mark is good for 7th in the Big 10. So far, the team has is 2 games above .500 when playing on the road or on neutral sites, sitting at 10-8. Heading into this matchup, the Spartans are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The Purdue Boilermakers get set to host the Spartans with an overall record of 26-6. On the season, the Boilermakers have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 15-6. This mark is good for 3rd in the Big 10. As the Boilermakers look to make their way to the Big 10 Championship game, they will be going for their third straight win.

For the season, the Michigan State Spartans are averaging 72.2 points per game, good for a rank of 118th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Spartans’ scoring average drops to 68 points per game. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 3.0 points per game. On the other side, the Purdue Boilermakers are the 7th ranked scoring offense, averaging 80.4 points per game while giving up an average of 68.5

Efficiency Outlook

Michigan State take on the Boilermakers holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 68.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to Purdue at 70.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Spartans have a 16-5. Even though Purdue trails Michigan State on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Boilermakers are 26-6 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 12.0.

For the year, the Spartans are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 29.9%. On the other side, the Boilermakers have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 33.1% of their scoring coming from downtown. In terms of efficiency, Purdue has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 39.7%, compared to Michigan State at 38.2%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Spartans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Boilermakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS
  • Boilermakers are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

These teams played each other tough in both games this season and I expect more of the same Saturday. Take the points and side with the underdog! Boost your bankroll for March Madness by grabbing a 100% bonus from one of the bookies on our best sportsbook bonuses page!