Odds and Predictions for Creighton at Butler: Who Will Come Out on Top?

by | Jan 17, 2023 | cbb

Creighton (10-8 SU 8-10 ATS) vs. Butler (11-8 SU 10-8 ATS)
When: Tuesday, January 17th: 7:00 ET
Where: Hinkle Fieldhouse Indianapolis, IN
TV: FS1
Point Spread: CREIGH -7/ BUTL +7
Total: 140.5
Money Line: Creighton Bluejays -311/ Butler Bulldogs +243

The Creighton Bluejays and the Butler Bulldogs go at it tonight at the Hinkle Fieldhouse. The favored Bluejays will be looking for the first true road win after dropping their first four. Surprising to some, they’re the favorite.

This game opened on most boards with the Bluejays a -6 favorite, and the early betting has driven the spread up a point to -7. The total is posted at 140.5 and has seen zero movements at the time of writing.

Last Game Info

Creighton is coming off a 73-67 win over Providence. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as a -7.5 point favorite. The combined 140 points did not surpass the 142.5 total line.

Butler will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Villanova by a score of 79-71. The Bulldogs also picked up an ATS victory as they were +3 point underdogs. The combined 150 points finished above the 133.5 total line.

Current Form

Creighton
Over their last five games, Creighton has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bluejays’ offense averages 76.6 points per game while hitting 47.2% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 38.9% from the field while allowing 70.4 points per contest.

Butler
In their previous five contests, Butler is 3-2 straight-up and 2-2-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 69.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.0%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 46.2% of their shots while giving up 69.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Creighton’s opponents comes in at 79.6. On the other side, Butler’s combined opponent power rating sits at 79.7.

How Does Creighton Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bluejays have played eight road games and have a record of 2-6. In these contests, Creighton is 4-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 74.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.0%. On defense, the Bluejays allow 77.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 45.4% in these games.

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How Does Butler Fare At Home?

In their 11 games at home, Butler has a 7-3 record vs. the spread while going 8-3 straight-up. On offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 49.6% on their home floor, leading to 74.2 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 43.0% in these contests. The Butler defense is allowing 64.5 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Creighton is averaging 69.0 points per game (262nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.0%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Butler defense that has allowed an average of 66.3 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 43.9% of their shots vs. Butler. On the other side, the Butler Bulldogs are coming into the game averaging 63.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.6%. The Bulldogs will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.8 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.6% of their shots vs. the Bluejays.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Creighton has a shooting percentage of 30.7% while ranking 367th in attempts per game. The Bluejays will be facing a Butler defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.9%. Butler enters the game having hit 30.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.94 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Creighton has allowed opponents to hit 32.6% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Creighton

  • John Christofilis (Out) Redshirt
  • Jasen Green (Out) Redshirt

Butler

  • Manny Bates (Questionable) Knee
  • John-Michael Mulloy (Out) Ankle
  • Myles Wilmoth (Questionable) Arm
  • D.J Hughes (Questionable) Shoulder

Pick Against The Spread

Sure, Creighton is 0-4 on the road, but the competition was strong. They lost to No. 7 Texas, No. 20 Marquette, No. 15 UConn, and No. 8 Xavier. For their fifth road game, they’re taking on a Butler team that they beat by 22 in their earlier meeting at home. Butler is 8-2 at home, but they didn’t beat much and were crushed in their two losses coming against top-level opposition, losing 68-46 to UConn and 72-52 to Providence. They’ve struggled mightily against teams with a high defensive efficiency rating, such as UConn at 0.883, Seton Hall at .0.921, Providence at 0.940, and Creighton at 0.956, scoring an average of 51.25 points per game. Take Creighton -7