Ohio State vs. Michigan State Pick – Betting Preview for March 10th

by | Last updated Mar 10, 2023 | cbb

Ohio State (15-18 SU 12-21 ATS) vs. Michigan State (19-11 SU 15-15 ATS)
When: Friday, March 10th: 2:30 ET
Where: United Center Chicago, IL
Point Spread: OSU +3.5/MSU -3.5 (Be smart! Bet your games at -105 instead of -110 at BAS Sportsbook! It’ll save you TONS of money!)
Total: 138.5
Money Line: Ohio St. +143/Mich. St. -176

Ohio State takes on Michigan State in the quarterfinal of the Big Ten Tourney on Friday, March 10th, at 2:30 ET. The game will be played at the United Center in Chicago, IL, and broadcast on BTN. The current point spread is OSU +3.5/MSU -3.5, with a total of 138.5. The money line odds are Ohio State Buckeyes +143/Michigan State Spartans -176.

Line Movement

This game hit the board with Michigan State favored by 3.5 points and has been bet up to -4 at some sportsbooks. The total opened at 139.5 and has since fallen to 138.5.

Last Game Info

Ohio State will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Iowa by a score of 73-69. The Buckeyes also picked up an ATS victory as they were +4 point underdogs. The combined 142 points had Under bettors cashing their tickets with the total line closing at 153 .

Michigan State is coming off an 84-78 win over Ohio State. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -6.5 point favorites. The combined 162 points finished above the 138.5 total line.

Current Form

Ohio State
Over their last five games, Ohio State has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 5-0 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Buckeyes’ offense averages 72.2 points per game while hitting 50.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field while allowing 66.4 points per contest.

Michigan State
In their previous five contests, Michigan State is 3-2 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 84.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.8%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 49.4% of their shots while giving up 81.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Ohio State’s opponents comes in at 84.7. On the other side, Michigan State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 85.9.

How Does Ohio State Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Buckeyes have played 15 road games and have a record of 4-11. In these contests, Ohio State is 5-10 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 69.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.3%. On defense, the Buckeyes allow 73.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.4% in these games.

How Does Michigan State Fare At Home?

In their 17 games at home, Michigan State has a 9-8 record vs. the spread while going 14-3 straight-up. On offense, the Spartans are shooting 45.9% on their home floor, leading to 71.2 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 40.7% in these contests. The Michigan State defense is allowing 64.0 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Ohio State is averaging 73.8 points per game (123rd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.4%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Michigan State defense that has allowed an average of 67.4 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Michigan State. On the other side, the Michigan State Spartans are coming into the game averaging 72.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.7%. The Spartans will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 69.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 43.1% of their shots vs. the Buckeyes.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Ohio State has a shooting percentage of 37.3% while ranking 374th in attempts per game. The Buckeyes will be facing a Michigan State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 30.4%. Michigan State enters the game having hit 37.8% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.18 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Ohio State has allowed opponents to hit 32.5% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Ohio State

  • Zed Key (Out) Shoulder

Michigan State

  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

The Spartans got the W in both meetings this season and are rested. The Buckeyes will be playing their third game in three days, and I just don’t see them having the legs to compete here for the full 40 minutes. Take the Spartans -3.5 and the Under 138.5.

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