Bash breaks down Tulsa’s 23.6-point net rating advantage over East Carolina, explaining why the market’s 9-point spread undervalues the Golden Hurricane’s elite offensive metrics despite ECU’s recent home success.

Bash breaks down Thursday’s Summit League tournament semifinal between South Dakota State and St. Thomas-Minnesota, finding 3.4 points of value on the Jackrabbits in a neutral-site setting where the market is overvaluing the Tommies’ offensive firepower.

Bash fades Southern Illinois’s recent surge and backs Drake +5 in the MVC tournament opener, citing the Bulldogs’ 7-1 straight-up dominance in the last eight meetings and superior adjusted offensive efficiency.

Bash breaks down Michigan State -18.5 vs Rutgers, finding 7 points of model value on the Scarlet Knights in a slow-paced Big Ten grinder at the Breslin Center.

Bash breaks down South Florida at Memphis, where the Bulls’ 12.3-point adjusted efficiency edge and five-game win streak clash with the Tigers’ five-game skid and offensive collapse at FedExForum.

Bash breaks down Ohio State at Penn State, questioning whether the Buckeyes can cover 7.5 on the road with key injuries and a 1-5 SU record in their last six road games. The efficiency gap is real, but Penn State’s home court and recent ATS success against Ohio State make the number too high.

Bash breaks down Stanford at Notre Dame in a late-season ACC matchup where the Cardinal’s efficiency advantage might be undervalued despite their recent road struggles. Stanford’s +11.4 adjusted net rating dwarfs Notre Dame’s +7.9, yet the Irish are only laying 1.5 at home.

Bash finds value on DePaul +3.5 at home against Villanova, citing nearly identical defensive efficiency ratings and the Blue Demons’ strong home court advantage at Wintrust Arena.

Bash breaks down why Colorado State’s elite shooting profile and ball security make them undervalued as 9-point road underdogs at The Pit against New Mexico on Wednesday night.

Bash breaks down Washington laying 6 to ranked USC at Hinkle Fieldhouse, finding 3 points of model value on the Trojans despite their five-game skid. With Washington’s injury report in shambles and USC’s superior Q1 resume, this spread feels inflated by the market’s recency bias.