Corpus Christi forced a low-scoring affair in their four-point win earlier this month. We look at the efficiency gap and why the Islanders’ home-court advantage makes them a compelling ATS pick in this high-stakes Southland rivalry.

Ohio State lays 12.5 at home against Penn State in a Big Ten matchup that hinges on defensive efficiency. The Buckeyes’ elite three-point defense and superior shooting efficiency should exploit Penn State’s five-game skid and porous defense.

Arizona enters as a slim 1.5-point favorite at the Marriott Center. We analyze the pace-of-play battle, the Wildcats’ turnover concerns, and the impact of freshman stars Koa Peat and AJ Dybantsa on tonight’s ATS pick.

Duke’s laying 7.5 at Cameron Indoor against Louisville, and the efficiency gap suggests this spread is light. The Blue Devils rank #3 in adjusted net efficiency, already beat Louisville by 11 on the road, and now get them at home where their elite defense should dominate.

Mercyhurst lays 9.5 against winless Chicago State in an NEC matchup that’s all about defensive dominance meeting offensive futility. The efficiency numbers tell a clear story, and Bash breaks down why this spread feels light.

Southern Illinois lays 3.5-4.5 at Evansville, but a 14-point adjusted efficiency gap suggests the market is undervaluing the Salukis. Bryan Bash breaks down why the four-game losing streak is noise and why Evansville’s offensive struggles make this spread a gift.

Oregon is currently mired in a five-game losing streak and dealing with critical injuries to Jackson Shelstad and Nate Bittle. We dive into the tempo and rebounding metrics to find the best bet for this Big Ten showdown at Alaska Airlines Arena.

South Florida lays 4.5 to 5 points at home against Florida Atlantic in an AAC matchup that the market has priced correctly. With an 8.7-point edge in adjusted net efficiency and home court advantage, the Bulls have multiple paths to covering this number against an Owls team with glaring perimeter defense issues.

Wisconsin lays 7.5 at home against USC in a critical Big Ten tempo clash. The Badgers’ elite offense faces a Trojans team reeling from three losses in five games. Breaking down the efficiency numbers and pace differential that will decide this matchup.

Arkansas enters as a 9.5-point home favorite, and my ATS pick (taking the -9.5) centers on the Razorbacks’ blistering 89.8 PPG scoring average. While LSU has the size to contest the glass, their 1-5 SEC record and 235th-ranked defensive rating suggest they won’t be able to keep pace with Darius Acuff Jr. and the Hogs.