Penn State at Nebraska Betting Analysis & Free Pick

by | Last updated Feb 5, 2023 | cbb

Penn State (14-8 SU 14-8 ATS) vs. Nebraska (10-13 SU 6-17 ATS)
When: Sunday, February 5th: 4:30 ET
Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena Lincoln, NE
Point Spread: PSU -4/Neb +4 (Bovada – Deposit $100 and get $50 FREE!)
Total: 136.0
Money Line: Penn St -197/Nebraska +159

The Penn State Nittany Lions hope that their “lose won, win one” trend continues when they head to Lincoln to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. The Oddsmakers have Visisitnbg Penn State as a -4.5 point road fav with a total line of 136.5 points. The tip-off for this afternoon’s game is scheduled for 4:30 PM ET and can be watched on BTN.

Line Movement

The Nittany Lions opened at most sportsbooks at -3 or -3.5 and has been bet up to a consensus line of Penn State -4.5. The total line of 135 was seen at some shops as their opener and can now be found depending on where you get your action down at 136 to 136.5.

Last Game Info

Penn State most recently fell to Purdue (80-60). Not only did the Nittany Lions lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +10 point underdogs. The combined 140 points finished above the 135.5 total line.

Nebraska most recently fell to Illinois (72-56). Not only did the Cornhuskers lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +14 point underdogs. The combined 128 points did not surpass the 136 total line.

Current Form

Penn State
Over their last five games, Penn State has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Nittany Lions offense averages 64.8 points per game while hitting 45.8% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 45.4% from the field while allowing 66.8 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Nebraska is 1-4 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 62.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.3%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 44.6% of their shots while giving up 73.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Penn State’s opponents comes in at 82.5. On the other side, Nebraska’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.6.

How Does Penn State Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Nittany Lions have played eight road games and have a record of 2-6. In these contests, Penn State is 4-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 66.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.6%. On defense, the Nittany Lions allow 70.5 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.8% in these games.

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How Does Nebraska Fare At Home?

In their 11 games at home, Nebraska has a 5-6 record vs. the spread while going 8-3 straight-up. On offense, the Cornhuskers are shooting 46.4% on their home floor, leading to 70.7 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 40.5% in these contests. The Nebraska defense is allowing 64.0 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Penn State is averaging 64.6 points per game (391st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.2%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Nebraska defense that has allowed an average of 68.6 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.8% of their shots vs. Nebraska. On the other side, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are coming into the game averaging 73.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.4%. The Cornhuskers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.2 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. the Nittany Lions.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Penn State has a shooting percentage of 34.2% while ranking 268th in attempts per game. The Nittany Lions will be facing a Nebraska defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.4%. Nebraska enters the game having hit 32.0% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.0 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Penn State has allowed opponents to hit 33.5% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Penn State

  • No Reported Injuries


  • Juwan Gary (Out) Shoulder
  • Emmanuel Bandoumel (Out) Knee
  • Quaran McPherson (Out) Knee
  • Ramel Lloyd Jr. (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Spread

The Cornhuskers lost 11 on the road in the earlier matchup to the Nittany Lions, but they should be a lot more competitive at home. They have struggled from the charity stripe all season but were especially bad in that game sinking just 13 of 24. Nebraska did an okay job against Penn State’s perimeter, shooting 36.7%. The Nittany Lions’ 3-point shooting averages nearly 4% less on the road (34.8%), while the Cornhuskers have held opponents to a respectable 31.9% at the Pinnacle Bank Arena, so I expect an improvement also in that area. Take Nebraska +4.5. Bet your college basketball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!