Providence at Marquette Spread Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Jan 18, 2023 | cbb

Providence (14-4 SU 11-7 ATS) vs. Marquette (14-5 SU 10-9 ATS)
When: Wednesday, January 18th: 9:00 ET
Where: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, WI
Point Spread: PROV +7/ MARQ -7 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)
Total: 152.5
Money Line: Providence Friars +247/ Marquette Golden Eagles -318

The Golden Eagles will look to avenge an earlier season 2-OT loss to the Friars when they host Providence at Fiserv Forum. Their backers will have to lay a hefty 7.5 points, but remember that MARQ crushed them 88-56 in the same building last season. Read on to see what Rich is getting down on.

Line Movement

This game opened on college hoops board with Marquette a -5.5 favorite and has since risen to -7.5 at most shops. The total has been on the decline, originally offered at 153.5, down now to 150.5 points.

Last Game Info

Providence lost to Creighton in their last game by a score of 73-67. But because the Friars were +7.5 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 140 points did not surpass the 142.5 total line.

Marquette most recently fell to Xavier (80-76). Not only did the Golden Eagles lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +3 point underdogs. The combined 156 points did not surpass the 163 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Providence has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Friars’ offense averages 73.8 points per game while hitting 43.8% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 40.8% from the field while allowing 65.0 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Marquette is 4-1 straight-up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 83.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.8%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 47.7% of their shots while giving up 76.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Providence’s opponents comes in at 77.5. Conversely, Marquette’s combined opponent power rating sits at 80.4.

How Does Providence Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Friars have played seven road games and have a record of 4-3. In these contests, Providence is 5-2 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 71.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.6%. On defense, the Friars allow 67.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.0% in these games.

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How Does Marquette Fare At Home?

In their 12 games at home, Marquette has a 6-6 record vs. the spread while going 11-1 straight up. On offense, the Golden Eagles are shooting 52.0% on their home floor, leading to 85.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 44.4% in these contests. The Marquette defense is allowing 69.3 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Providence is averaging 71.8 points per game (179th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Marquette defense that has allowed an average of 71.7 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 44.4% of their shots vs. Marquette. On the other side, the Marquette Golden Eagles are coming into the game averaging 74.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.3%. The Golden Eagles will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.3 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. the Friars.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Providence has a shooting percentage of 34.3% while ranking 402nd in attempts per game. The Friars will be facing a Marquette defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 34.5%. Marquette enters the game having hit 34.7% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.61 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Providence has allowed opponents to hit 31.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Jared Bynum (Questionable) Abdominal


  • Zach Wrightsil (Out) Knee
  • Emarion Ellis (Out) Knee

Pick Against The Spread

I feel like this is Wisconsin all over again. Yesterday I was late getting analysis up on the Badgers’ game, and the line had climbed all the way to -3.5 from 1.5 (I bet it at 2), and WISC won by 3. The Golden Eagles were at -5.5 earlier and have steadily climbed to -7.5. It is what it is. Marquette battled Province through two overtimes before falling by five. This time around, they’re at home, where they have compiled a 10-1 record, with the only loss coming to Wisconsin in overtime. MARQ has also outscored the opposition at Fiserv Forum 85.9 to 70.2. Additionally, the Friars’ Jared Bynum, who leads the team in assists and who scored 16 points, and had eight rebounds in the earlier match-up, is unlikely to play. Take Marquette -7.5. Bet your NCAA basketball predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM on the special offers page AFTER you register and BEFORE you place your first bet at the web’s oldest (In business since 1983) and most trusted sportsbook —-> Everygame! (Formerly known as Intertops)