Purdue at Maryland Expert Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 16, 2023 | cbb

Purdue (23-3 SU 10-15 ATS) vs. Maryland (17-8 SU 16-9 ATS)
When: Thursday, February 16th: 6:30 ET
Where: XFINITY Center College Park, MD
Point Spread: PU -1.5/MD +1.5 (Bet it FREE by using code PREDICT100 when you deposit $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! They’ll match you dollar for dollar with a 100% REAL CASH bonus!)
Total: 132.5
Money Line: Purdue Boilermakers -127/Maryland Terrapins +103

The Purdue Boilermakers head to College Park, MD, to take on the Maryland Terrapins. The oddsmaker has set the line for this game at Purdue -1.5 with a total line of 132.5 points. Read on to get our Pur/MD free pick.

Line Movement

The visiting Purdue Boilermakers hit the board as a -2 point spread favorite and have fallen to a -1.5 favorite against public action. The total opened as high as 133.5 and has dropped a full point to 132.5 points.

Last Game Info

Going into their last game, Purdue was the betting favorite at -5 but fell to Northwestern by a score of 64-58. The combined 122 points did not surpass the 131 total line.

Maryland is coming off a 74-68 win over Penn State. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -8 point favorites. The combined 142 points finished above the 132 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Purdue has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Boilermakers’ offense averages 75.2 points per game while hitting 48.6% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field while allowing 67.4 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Maryland is 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 72.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.7%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 43.4% of their shots while giving up 59.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Purdue’s opponents comes in at 83.3. On the other side, Maryland’s combined opponent power rating sits at 83.

How Does Purdue Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Boilermakers have played 11 road games and have a record of 9-2. In these contests, Purdue is 5-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 71.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.5%. On defense, the Boilermakers allow 64.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 41.8% in these games.

How Does Maryland Fare At Home?

In their 14 games at home, Maryland has a 10-4 record vs. the spread while going 13-1 straight-up. On offense, the Terrapins are shooting 46.6% on their home floor, leading to 74.1 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.9% in these contests. The Maryland defense is allowing 61.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Purdue is averaging 79.8 points per game (18th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 49.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Maryland defense that has allowed an average of 62.8 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. Maryland. On the other side, the Maryland Terrapins are coming into the game averaging 70.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.3%. The Terrapins will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 61.7 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.2% of their shots vs. the Boilermakers.

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Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Purdue has a shooting percentage of 39.1% while ranking 328th in attempts per game. The Boilermakers will be facing a Maryland defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 30.6%. Maryland enters the game having hit 32.6% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.91 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Purdue has allowed opponents to hit 30.7% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • No Reported Injuries


  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

The Boilermakers haven’t been as sharp in recent games losing two of their last three games. They’ll face a Maryland team that is a true Jekyll & Hyde, going 7-0 at home and 1-6 on the road versus Big Ten foes. The Terps have lost just one game at the XFINITY Center this season, and that came back on Dec/14 to UCLA. Take Maryland +1.5. Question! When you bet on games, does your bookie charge you -110 odds on sides and totals? (or more?) Of course he does! Can you imagine how much money you’d have saved over the years if you had been wagering on games at -105 odds instead? Probably THOUSANDS of dollars! Dump your overpriced book and start saving BIG bucks today by making the switch to -105 odds at Betanysports! We’ve advertised them for over 16 years with ZERO complaints! Click here to start saving money today!