Rutgers vs. Minnesota Expert Analysis & Pick ATS

by | Last updated Mar 3, 2023 | cbb

Rutgers (18-11 SU 17-12 ATS) vs. Minnesota (7-20 SU 13-13 ATS)
When: Thursday, March 2nd: 7:00 ET
Where: Williams Arena Minneapolis, MN
Point Spread: RU -8.5/Min +8.5 (STOP wasting money! Stop betting on your basketball and football games at -110 odds! Start laying only -105 TODAY at BetAnySports!)
Total: 128
Money Line: Rut -435/Minny +323

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (18-11 SU, 17-12 ATS) will take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-20 SU, 13-13 ATS) on Thursday, March 2nd at Williams Arena Minneapolis, MN. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET and will be televised on FS1. The point spread currently favors Rutgers by 8.5 points, while the over/under total is listed at 128. The money line odds for the game are Rutgers Scarlet Knights -435 and Minnesota Golden Gophers +323.

Line Movement

The point spread line hit the board with Rutgers as a -8.5 favorite, where it has stayed. The total line opened at 126.5 and has risen at most betting sites to 128 points.

Last Game Info

Rutgers will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Penn State by a score of 59-56. The Scarlet Knights also picked up an ATS victory as they were +4.5 point underdogs. The combined 115 points did not surpass the 132.5 total line.

Minnesota most recently fell to Nebraska (78-67). Not only did the Golden Gophers lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +8 point underdogs. The combined 145 points finished above the 134 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Rutgers has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Scarlet Knights’ offense averages 58.8 points per game while hitting 40.2% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.8% from the field while allowing 64.4 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Minnesota is 0-5 straight-up and 2-2-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 66.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.2%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 50.3% of their shots while giving up 77.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Rutgers’ opponents comes in at 83. On the other side, Minnesota’s combined opponent power rating sits at 83.2.

How Does Rutgers Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Scarlet Knights have played 11 road games and have a record of 4-7. In these contests, Rutgers is 5-6 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 63.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.3%. On defense, the Scarlet Knights allow 67.6 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.1% in these games.

How Does Minnesota Fare At Home?

In their 16 games at home, Minnesota has a 7-8 record vs. the spread while going 6-10 straight-up. On offense, the Golden Gophers are shooting 42.3% on their home floor, leading to 61.1 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 43.0% in these contests. The Minnesota defense is allowing 67.5 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Rutgers is averaging 67.9 points per game (302nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 44.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Minnesota defense that has allowed an average of 70.8 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. Minnesota. Conversely, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are coming into the game averaging 67.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.8%. The Golden Gophers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 59.7 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 38.9% of their shots vs. the Scarlet Knights.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Rutgers has a shooting percentage of 33.6% while ranking 569th in attempts per game. The Scarlet Knights will be facing a Minnesota defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 36.6%. Minnesota enters the game having hit 36.8% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.8 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Rutgers has allowed opponents to hit 29.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • Mawot Mag (Out) Knee


  • Taurus Samuels (Questionable) Undisclosed
  • Isaiah Ihnen (Out) Knee
  • Parker Fox (Out) Knee
  • Braeden Carrington (Probable) Leg

Pick Against The Spread

The one thing that has been consistent in the Golden Gophers’ last eight defeats is a lack of defense, allowing seven opponents to score 76 or more points per game. Included in that stretch was a 90-55 blowout. I’m not expecting a repeat of that, but something in the low 70s by the Scarlet Knights will probably cash the Over. Take the Over 128. Do you live bet games? If so, you need to check out the incredible live betting platform at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s the most efficient platform on the web! Everything is on one page, easy to navigate, tons of options and bets process fast (unlike other books which hold you up with line changes and low limits!) Click here to check them out!