Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns Point Spread Pick | Jan 6, 2024

Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS) vs. Texas Longhorns (11-2 SU, 4-9 ATS)

When: Saturday, January 6th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Moody Center, TX, Austin

TV: ESPN2

Point Spread: TXTECH +6.5/TX -6.5

Total: 141.5

Money Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +229/-290

Notable Injuries

Red Raiders

• Devan Cambridge (Out) Knee

Longhorns

• Tyrese Hunter (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into today’s matchup, Texas Tech is the underdog with a point spread of +6.5. So far this season, the Red Raiders have an overall record of 11-2 and are riding a six-game win streak.

In their last game, Texas Tech faced off against North Alabama and came away with an 85-57 victory. Over their last ten road games, the Red Raiders are just 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas Tech’s games this season (138.2). So far, five of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

So far this season, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 6-7. On the road, they are 2-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Raiders have gone 6-4 ATS.

Heading into today’s matchup, the Texas Longhorns are favored by 6.5 points over the Texas Tech Red Raiders. So far this season, the Longhorns have an overall record of 11-2 and have won their last five games.

At home, Texas is 10-1 this season and has an average scoring margin of +19.4 points per game. In their most recent game, the Longhorns defeated UT Arlington by a score of 79-62. Over their last 10 games at home, Texas is 9-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas games is 5-8. On average, their games have finished with 143.5 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 147.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points.

As the favorite this season, Texas has gone 4-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Longhorns are just 3-7 vs. the spread, and they are 3-7 vs. the spread at home this season. In their last three home games, Texas is 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous 5 matchups vs Texas. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +4 points per game in favor of the Red Raiders. A combined average of 134 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

In their latest game, Texas Tech’s offense put up 85 points against North Alabama. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 54.5% and made 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Pop Isaacs who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16. Joe Toussaint also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.2.

At this time, the Red Raiders’ defense is positioned 39th in the country, permitting 64.5 points per game. So far, the Texas Tech defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and is turning teams over 10.8 times per game (451st).

Texas’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 79 points against UT Arlington. They had an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 16/20 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Max Abmas, who holds an average of 17.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrese Hunter is averaging 11.7 points per game this season.

In the current season, the Texas defense has excelled, sitting 36th in the nation by allowing 64.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. Texas Tech, the Texas defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Texas made 16 free throws vs. the Longhorns.

Betting Trends

• Texas Tech has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 81 points per game while allowing 71. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• Through their last ten home contests, the Longhorns’ offense has averaged 72 points per game while allowing an average of 74. Texas posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Red Raiders have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Longhorns have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Rich Crew’s Pick ATS

Despite a tough loss to Villanova and an OT defeat at Butler, they’ve been on a hot streak since, playing exceptional defense and holding opponents to just 61.8 points per game. As they visit the Longhorns in Austin, remember last season’s narrow two-point loss to Texas, showing they can go toe-to-toe. With both teams at an identical 11-2 record and Texas Tech’s recent defensive prowess, expect them to challenge Texas closely, making the visitor a reasonable pick. Take Texas Tech +6.5