Alabama vs. Texas Odds & Prediction ATS 9/10/22

by | Sep 6, 2022 | cfb

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Texas Longhorns (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

NCAA Football Week 2

Date/Time: Saturday September 10th, 2022. 12:00PM (EST)

Where: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium Austin, TX

TV: FOX

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: ALA -20/TEX +20 (Bovada - If you like to live bet games, this is the place for you! Their live wagering platform is incredible and blows away the competition! Plus, they offer a 50% bonus up to $250!)

Total: 50

Last week, the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide passed their opening test with flying colors in a 55-0 shutout over the Utah State Aggies in Tuscaloosa. Despite a 39-point betting line, I advised bettors that Alabama has an incredible track record, against the spread, in openers with Head Coach Nick Saban and Alabama was able to cover the large betting line with ease. This week the competition stiffens when the Crimson Tide travels to Austin, Texas, for a showdown with the Texas Longhorns at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

The Longhorns also passed their opening test last week with a 52-10 victory over UL Monroe. The Longhorns covered the large 37.5-point betting line in a relatively unchallenged season opener. By all accounts, the Longhorns have the talent to be really good this season, and many are expecting somewhat of a breakout season in Head Coach Steve Sarkisian’s 2nd season. I believe a lot of those expectations and questions could be answered on Saturday by gauging how well this Texas football team can contend with a juggernaut like Alabama.

One of the biggest keys to this game and determining the side of this 20-point betting line revolves around the play of transfer quarterback Quinn Ewers. Alabama poses a monstrosity on both sides of the football, led by Heisman Trophy QB Bryce Young. As bad as the Longhorns were defensively last year, I don’t see many paths for this unit to shut down the high-profile attack of Alabama. Therefore to keep this game competitive, the Longhorns will need a big-time performance from Ewers in his biggest challenge to date.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Analysis

I know I said the key to the Longhorns’ chances at covering will be dependent upon the arm of Quinn Ewers, and I’m sure the Texas faithful are screaming, “what about Bijan Robinson?” Fair enough, I will give Longhorns fans credit that Robinson is among the best tailbacks in college football, and he should have an incredible year in the Texas backfield. That said, look at the track record of top-tier running backs against this Alabama defense. In a seemingly down year on the defensive side of the football in 2021, the Crimson Tide only relinquished 84 yards per game on the ground, and they are poised to be better this season.

Call it blasphemy or call it what you want; I think Alabama will take away the Longhorns’ biggest threat on the ground. When that happens, it falls back on the success of the passing game with Ewers. Now, if Ewers can make some big throws and the Longhorns can capitalize on plays down the field, that will open up more opportunities on the ground. I’m just not convinced that will happen enough to keep pace with the firepower from the Crimson Tide.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Trends

  • Alabama is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 non-conference games as 20 points favorites
  • Alabama is 8-1 SU in the last nine games on the road
  • Alabama has hit the “under” in four of the last five games
  • Alabama has hit the “over” in five of the last six games against Big 12 opponents
  • Texas is 2-6 ATS in the last 8 games
  • Texas has hit the “under” in 6 of the last 7 games
  • Texas has hit the “over” in 8 of the last 12 games against SEC opponents

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Prediction

Make no mistakes about it, the Longhorns program is on the rise, and they could make some noise in the Big 12 this season. However, I don’t think the program is quite ready to challenge such a dominant team like Alabama this early in the season. The Crimson Tide have far more paths to a victory and cover in this match-up. As a result, I’m backing Alabama for the 2nd straight week!

Jay’s Pick: Take Alabama -20. Make the Tide a pick’em by inserting them into a massive 20 point college football teaser only found at Wagerweb Sportsbook!

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