Southern Miss vs Miami Betting Odds & Predictions

by | Sep 6, 2022 | cfb

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Miami Hurricanes
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
TV: ACCN
Point Spread: Golden Eagles +26.0 / Hurricanes -26.0
Money Line: Golden Eagles +1585 / Hurricanes -7250
Over/Under: 55.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Golden Eagles have an overall record of 0-1 and have yet to play a game in
the Sun Belt. Southern Miss finished last season by winning just 1 time on the road, going 1-5.
Over their last 3 road games, they went 2-1-0 vs the spread.

In their previous game, the Golden Eagles lost by a score of 29-27 to Liberty. However, they
were able to cover the spread as 3.5-point home underdogs. For the game, Southern Miss threw for
137 yards but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their overall completion percentage came
in at 38.5%. The team ended the game with 2 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 252 yards
on the ground.

So far, quarterback Ty Keyes has a passer rating of 50.52 while completing 4 of his 8
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 89 passing yards. Wide receiver Jakarius Caston has come
up with the most production for the team, with a total of 54 receiving yards. The top option in
the run game for the team is Frank Gore Jr., who has carried the ball 32 times for a total of 178
yards.

So far, the Hurricanes have an overall record of 1-0 and have not played a game in the
Atlantic Coast. Last year, the Hurricanes were an above .500 team at home, going 5-3. Across
their last 3 home games, they had an ATS record of 2-1-0.

The Golden Eagles head into this week’s game looking to pick up another win after they most
recently defeated Bethune-Cookman by a score of 70-13. In the win, Miami completed 87.0 of their
23 passes, 2 of which resulted in touchdowns. The team ended the game with 7 rushing touchdowns,
along with a total of 305 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Tyler Van Dyke has an overall passer rating of 156.51 on a total of
193 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Xavier Restrepo leads
the team’s receiving corps with 5 catches for a total of 100 yards. The top option in the run
game for the team is Henry Parrish Jr., who has carried the ball 14 times for a total of 108
yards.

BETTING TRENDS

The Golden Eagles come into this week’s game having covered just 20.0% of their last 10 games.
Their overall record in these games is just 2-8-0. On average, the team scored 18.6 points per
game while allowing 31.2, leading to a negative scoring differential.

In their last 10 games, Miami has covered the spread at a rate of 70.0% while putting together
a straight up record of 7-3-0. The team averaged 42.4 points in these games while allowing 24.9.
Their over-under record was 6-3-1.

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Golden Eagles will look to improve their offensive
output, as they are ranked just 82nd in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, Southern Miss has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 137
passing yards per game. This week, the Golden Eagles will be facing a Miami defense that finished
152nd in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 145.5 yards per game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

Early on, Southern Miss is averaging 54 rush attempts per game, good for 29th in the country.
In terms of production, they are 7th in yards per game at 252. This week, the Golden Eagles will
be facing a Miami defense that finished 77th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they
averaged 128.33 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

So far, the
Hurricanes are averaging 70 points per game on offense, which is good for the top mark in college
football

More Picks: Gamecocks at Razorbacks Point Spread Pick for Week 2

So far, the Hurricanes are averaging 281.0 yards per game through the air, placing them 46th
in the country. This week, the Hurricanes will be facing a Southern Miss defense that finished
72nd in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 321 yards per game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

On the ground, the Miami offense is averaging 305.0 yards per game, good for 6th in the
country. This has come while ranking 30th in attempts at 42 per game. This week, the Hurricanes
will be facing a Southern Miss defense that finished 108th in rush yards allowed per game. Last
year, they averaged 151.29 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Going into the game, the Hurricane’s defensive unit is 38th in the NCAA in points allowed per
game at 13.0.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Miami Hurricanes -26

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