South Carolina vs Arkansas Point Spread & Picks

by | Sep 6, 2022 | cfb

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: Gamecocks +8.5 / Razorbacks -8.5
Money Line: Gamecocks +250 / Razorbacks -325
Over/Under: 53.0

RECENT FORM

The Gamecocks come into the game with an overall mark of 1-0 while not yet playing a game in
the SEC. South Carolina finished the season by winning just 1 time on the road, going 1-4. Over
their last 3 road games, they went 0-3-0 vs the spread.

This week, the Gamecocks will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 35-14 win
over Georgia State. With the 21 point victory, South Carolina also covered the spread. The team
finished the game throwing for 1 touchdown pass. Overall, the Gamecocks had 227 passing yards on
a completion percentage of 62.2%. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown while
averaging 2.5 yards per carry for a total of 79 yards.

Quarterback Spencer Rattler comes in the game having completed 23 of 37 passes for a passer
rating of 65.93. Overall, he has a total of 227 passing yards. Receiver Jalen Brooks heads into
the game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 88. The top option in the run
game for the team is Marshawn Lloyd, who has carried the ball 11 times for a total of 30
yards.

This season, the Razorbacks have an overall mark of 1-0 and will be kicking off their first
game in the SEC. Last year, the Razorbacks were an above .500 team at home, going 7-1. Across
their last 3 home games, they had an ATS record of 2-0-1.

In their previous game, the Razorbacks picked up a 31-24 road win over Cincinnati. This was an
impressive victory as they were also the 6.5 point underdogs. In the game, Arkansas finished with
3 touchdowns through the air, while throwing for 223 yards. On the ground, the team ended with 1
rushing touchdown, while averaging 5.0 yards per carry for a total of 224 yards.

The team’s leading quarterback is KJ Jefferson, who comes into the game with a passer rating
of 133.97 on a completion percentage of 69.2%. Wide receiver Matt Landers, has come up with the
most production for the team, with a total of 43 receiving yards. In the run game, Raheim Sanders
has accumulated 117 on 20 attempts to lead the team.

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BETTING TRENDS

Over their last 10 games, the Gamecocks have covered the spread at a rate of 60.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight up mark of 6-4-0. The team averaged 24.0 points in these games,
while allowing 25.3. Their last 10 over-under record is 5-5-0.

Through their last 10 matchups, Arkansas has gone 6-4-0 straight up and 5-4-1 vs the spread.
On average, the team scored 29.0 points while allowing 26.4, leading to a positive scoring
differential.

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KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Gamecocks will look to improve their offensive output,
as they are ranked just 60th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, South Carolina has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
227.0 passing yards per game. This week, the Gamecocks will be facing an Arkansas defense that
finished 94th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 197.3 yards per game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the South Carolina offense is averaging just 79 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 32 rush attempts per game (90th). This week, the Gamecocks
will be facing an Arkansas defense that finished 99th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year,
they averaged 143.56 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Going into the game, the Gamecock’s defensive unit is 45th in the NCAA in points allowed per
game at 14.0.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Razorbacks will look to improve their offensive output,
as they are ranked just 73rd in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, Arkansas has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 223.0
passing yards per game. This week, the Razorbacks will be facing a South Carolina defense that
finished 34th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 225.5 yards per game when
facing top 25 pass defenses.

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Early on, Arkansas is averaging 45.0 rush attempts per game, good for 36th in the country. In
terms of production, they are 22nd in yards per game at 224.0. This week, the Razorbacks will be
facing a South Carolina defense that finished 143rd in rush yards allowed per game. Last year,
they averaged 246.78 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Razorbacks will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 73rd at 24.0 points per game allowed.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Arkansas -8.5 Points

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