Ohio Bobcats vs Penn State Betting Predictions

by | Sep 6, 2022 | cfb

Ohio Bobcats vs Penn State Nittany Lions
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Location: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
TV: ABC
Point Spread: Bobcats 24.5 / Nittany Lions -24.5
Money Line: Bobcats 1283 / Nittany Lions -4333
Over/Under: 53.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Bobcats have an overall record of 1-0 and have yet to play a game in the
Mid-American. This year, Ohio will look to play better on the road, as they finished the season
with a below .500 record at 2-4. In their last 3 road games, they posted an ATS mark of 2-4.

In their previous game, the Bobcats picked up a 41-38 home win over Florida Atlantic. This was
an impressive victory as they were also the 5.5 point underdogs. The team finished the game
throwing for 4 touchdown passes. Overall, the Bobcats had 345 passing yards on a completion
percentage of 79.4%. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown while averaging 3.4
yards per carry for a total of 131 yards.

Kurtis Rourke heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating
of 148.16. So far, he has completed 27 passes for a total of 345 yards. So far, the team’s most
productive wide receiver is James Bostic, who has caught 6 passes for a total of 136 yards. The
Bobcats have turned to running back Sieh Bangura a total of 23 times for a total of 114 rushing
yards.

This year, Nittany Lions have an overall record of 1-0. In addition, they have also played
well in the Big Ten, going 1-0. Last year, the Nittany Lions were an above .500 team at home,
going 5-2. Across their last 3 home games, they had an ATS record of 1-2-0.

In their previous game, the Nittany Lions picked up a 35-31 home win over Purdue. This was an
impressive victory as they were also the 3.5-point underdogs. The team finished the game throwing
for 4 touchdown passes. Overall, the Nittany Lions had 308 passing yards on a completion
percentage of 53.7%. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown while averaging 3.1
yards per carry for a total of 98 yards.

So far, quarterback Sean Clifford has a passer rating of 103.66 while completing 20 of his 37
attempts. Mitchell Tinsley leads the team’s receiving corp with 7 catches for a total of 84
yards. In the run game, Kaytron Allen has accumulated 31 on 8 attempts to lead the team.

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BETTING TRENDS

Over their last 10 games, the Bobcats have covered the spread at a rate of 40.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight up mark of 4-6-0. Their last 10 scoring differential sits at -3.3,
as they averaged 26.3 points per game while allowing 29.6 points. The over-under record in these
games was 3-7-0.

Over their last 10 games, the Nittany Lions have covered the spread at a rate of 40.0%. In
these games, they posted a straight up mark of 4-6-0. The team’s average scoring differential was
3.8, as they averaged 23.4 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 19.6. Their
last 10 over-under record is 3-7-0.

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KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into the game, the Bobcats are ranked 39th in points per game.

In the passing game, the Bobcats are currently one of the leading groups in the country, at
345.0 yards per game through the air. This week, the Bobcats will be facing a Penn State defense
that finished 62nd in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 185.2 yards per game
when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

This season, the Ohio offense has struggled in the run game, averaging just 131.0 yards per
game on the ground. In terms of attempts, they rank 49th in the NCAA at 39.0 per contest. This
week, the Bobcats will be facing a Penn State defense that finished 67th in rush yards allowed
per game. Last year, they averaged 187.42 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the
top 50.

Heading into the game, the Bobcats will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 107th at 38.0 points per game allowed.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Nittany Lions will look to improve their offensive
output, as they are ranked just 57th in the NCAA in points scored.

So far, the Nittany Lions are averaging 308.0 yards per game through the air, placing them
33rd in the country. This week, the Nittany Lions will be facing an Ohio defense that finished
127th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 282.3 yards per game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Penn State offense is averaging just 98.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 32.0 rush attempts per game (89th). This week, the Nittany
Lions will be facing an Ohio defense that finished 148th in rush yards allowed per game. Last
year, they averaged 111.11 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Nittany Lions will hope for some improved play from their defense,
as they are currently 92nd at 31.0 points per game allowed.

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Penn State -24.5