Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Total Prediction

The Bowling Green Falcons and Western Michigan Broncos matchup in a Mid-American showdown at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI. The over/under for this matchup is currently 54.5, while Bowling Green is favored by -1.5.

Bowling Green Falcons (6-5 SU, ATS 6-4) vs Western Michigan Broncos (4-7 SU, ATS 6-4)

Date: 7:00 EST Tuesday, November 21st

Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

TV: ESNU

Point Spread: BGSU -1.5/WMU +1.5

Money Line: BG -123/WM +101

Over/Under: 54.5

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Head-to-Head Matchup:

Bowling Green will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 13-9 win over Western Michigan. Both sides struggled to move the ball through the air, with Bowling Green finishing the game with 161 compared to Bowling Green’s 191.

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Form:

Bowling Green’s recent loss to Toledo brought their overall record down to 6-5. In the game, the Falcons suffered a 32-31 defeat.

Bowling Green and Toledo combined for 63 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 49.5 points. Even though Bowling Green lost straight-up, they did cover the spread as 10-point underdogs.

In the loss against Toledo, quarterback Connor Bazelak wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 100.42 after completing 23 of 35 passes for 286 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Ta’ron Keith emerged as the primary rusher for Bowling Green against Toledo. He rushed for 64 yards and scored one time in 15 attempts. The team’s leading receiver was Harold Fannin Jr., who contributed two touchdowns and caught five balls for 89 yards.

On defense, Bowling Green finished their game against Toledo by giving up a total of 418 yards. Toledo threw the ball 30 times for 279 vs. Bowling Green. While on the ground, the Falcons gave up 139 rushing yards. Bowling Green’s defense ranks 95th in points allowed, with 24.7 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 199 passing yards against them (50th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 137.8 rushing yards, putting them 56th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Western Michigan Broncos Recent Form:

After dropping their most recent game by a score of 24-0 to Northern Illinois, the Broncos are just 4-7 so far this season.

Against the spread, Western Michigan was not able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 57.5 going into the game, resulting in the under hitting.

In the loss against Northern Illinois, Hayden Wolff threw for 182 yards on 18 of 31 passing. His overall passer rating was 74.93, and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Western Michigan’s leading rusher against Northern Illinois was Jalen Buckley, who ran for 26 yards on nine times. Jalen Buckley did not run for a score against Northern Illinois. Western Michigan’s most productive receiver in the game was Leroy Thomas, who finished with 87 on six receptions.

On defense, Western Michigan finished their game against Northern Illinois by giving up a total of 388 yards. Northern Illinois threw the ball 18 times for 99 vs. Western Michigan. While on the ground, the Broncos gave up 289 rushing yards. The Western Michigan defense, going into this week’s game, holds 134th place for points allowed, allowing 31.5 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 235.2 passing yards each game against them (118th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 162.4 rushing yards, ranking them 105th in college football.

Home Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Betting Trends

• On the road, Bowling Green has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.
• At home, Western Michigan has gone 7-3 against the spread (last ten).
• Western Michigan’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
• Bowling Green are 3-2 in their last five games as favorites.

Free Pick

I think that both teams can score tonight. The Broncos couldn’t get much going last week and were shut out 24-0 by NIU. They did manage 181 yards through the air against the MAC’s best pass defense and should be able to improve on that against the Falcons. Western Michigan is ranked No. 2 in the conference in offensive yards per game and even with the shutout last week they still rank fourth with 24.9 PPG. Bowling Green has averaged 25.6 PPG plus has a very good 12.67 yards per point and faces a WMU defense that has a 12.01 mark. Take the Over 51.