Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Total Pick

by | Last updated Oct 27, 2023 | cfb

Florida State Seminoles (7-0 SU, ATS 4-2) vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-3 SU, ATS 3-3)
Date: Saturday, October 28th
Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
TV: ABC
Point Spread: Florida State -20/Wake Forest +20
Money Line: Florida State -1604/Wake Forest +834
Over/Under: 53

The Florida State Seminoles and Wake Forest Demon Deacons matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem, NC. The over/under for this matchup is currently 53, while Florida State is favored by -20.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The last time Wake Forest and Florida State faced off came last year, ending in a 31-21 win for Wake Forest. The Wake Forest offense had a big game, putting up 31 points on 405 yards of total offense. For the game, the Demon Deacons picked up 28 first downs while going 10/18 on 3rd down. Defensively, they gave up 281 passing yards and 112 yards rushing.

Florida State Seminoles Recent Form:

The Florida State Seminoles are coming off a 38-20 win over Duke and are looking to remain undefeated as they prepare to take on Wake Forest.

When looking at how their game played out from a betting perspective, their combined 58 points resulting in the over hitting. The over/under line going into the game was 47.5. Florida State also covered the spread as 14-point favorites.

In Florida State’s win over Duke, quarterback Jordan Travis had two touchdowns through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 268 yards while achieving a completion rate of 75.0%.

Quarterback Jordan Travis also contributed in the running game against Duke, carrying the ball 10 times for 62 yards. Leading Florida State in receiving against Duke was Johnny Wilson. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 58 yards on five receptions.

Defensively, Florida State allowed a total of 273 yards to Duke. This includes giving up 197 yards allowed on the ground and 76 passing yards. This season, the Seminoles’ defense has allowed 149.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 115th. Opponents average 200.7 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 62.2 against Florida State. They hold the 80th position in NCAA points allowed.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Johnny Wilson WR Undisclosed Questionable
Darrell Jackson Jr. DL Eligibility Out
Brock Glenn QB Thumb Out
Destyn Hill WR Foot Questionable

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Wake Forest Demon Deacons Recent Form:

Wake Forest’s 21-17 win against Pittsburgh has propelled their record to 4-3 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Florida State.

Combining for 38 points, the under hit in this matchup with a line of 45. Wake Forest covered the spread, as they were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game.

Quarterback Santino Marucci threw the ball 21 times vs. Pittsburgh and finished with 151 passing yards on a completion percentage of 57.1%. He did also end up throwing two interceptions in the win.

The top rusher for Wake Forest against Pittsburgh was Demond Claiborne. He gained 96 rushing yards and scored two times in 14 attempts. Leading Wake Forest in receiving against Pittsburgh was Jahmal Banks. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 59 yards on two receptions.

On defense, Wake Forest finished their game against Pittsburgh by giving up a total of 414 yards. Pittsburgh threw the ball 45 times for 302 vs. Wake Forest. While on the ground, the Demon Deacons gave up 112 rushing yards. The Demon Deacons defense heads into this week’s matchup with 16 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 22.1 points per game (72nd). In the pass defense department, they’re 109th nationally, giving up 238.6 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Wake Forest’s defense is allowing 128.7 rushing yards per contest.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Brendon Harris DB Undisclosed Out
Donavon Greene WR Knee Out
Chase Jones LB Concussion Out
Michael Kern QB Shoulder Out
Mitch Griffis QB Undisclosed Questionable
Gavin Ellis TE Undisclosed Out
Nick Sharpe OL Ankle Out
Walker Merrill WR Foot Questionable
Ian Ver Steeg WR Undisclosed Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Florida State is 8-2 in their last ten games road games.
  • Looking across Wake Forest’s three most recent home games, they are 1-2 against the spread.
  • Wake Forest’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 4-1.
  • When favored, Florida State has gone 6-4 vs. the spread (last 10).

Free Pick

I’m gonig to lay the big number. The Seminoles have the potential to light it up. The Demon Deacons have done an decent job defending allowing 22 points per game, but this FSU team has a scary good offense. They rank number five in the nation in scoring with 41.6 points per game and No. 24th in yards per game that includes a No. 37 ranked passing yards per game. FSU didn’t just score against some cupcake defenses. They put up 31 against Clemson and 38 against Duke. The highest totals for both teams. I don’t see WF having much success on the ground. QB Mitch Griffis is expected to back at the helm, but he’s already thrown seven INTs and the Florida State pass defense is very good with the No. 2 ranked QB passing completion rate (50.22%) and have 5 INTs. This could very easily be a 35-10 type game and that gets us the money.

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1