Illinois at Maryland Point Spread & Total Pick 10/14/23

Illinois Fighting Illini (2-4 SU, ATS 0-6) vs Maryland Terrapins (5-1 SU, ATS 3-2)

Date: Saturday, October 14th

Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, MD

TV: NBC

Point Spread: Ill +14/MD -14 (Grab a 100% bonus! Boost your bankroll for nothing!)

Money Line: U of Ill +427/U of MD -615

Over/Under: 51.5

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Maryland Terrapins matchup in a Big Ten showdown at SECU Stadium in College Park, MD. The over/under for this matchup is currently 51.5 while Maryland is favored by -14.

Head-to-Head Matchup

The previous three head-to-head matchups have gone in favor of Illinois with a record of 2-1. Illinois and Maryland did not play last season. Against the spread, Illinois went 2-1 in these matchups. On the over/under, the teams went 1-2, combining for 46 points per contest.

Illinois Fighting Illini Recent Form

Illinois has an overall record of 2-4 as they prepare for this game. In their most recent game, they faced Nebraska and were unable to secure a win, resulting in a 20-7 loss to the Cornhuskers.

Quarterback Luke Altmyer threw for one touchdown in Illinois’ loss to Nebraska. Overall, he had a passer rating of 77.35 while completing 61.7% of his passes for 289 yards.

Kaden Feagin took the ball five times and led the team with 15 rushing yards, though he did not manage to find the endzone on the ground in the game against Nebraska. Pat Bryant paced Illinois with his four receptions for 76 yards and one touchdown.

Illinois’ defense gave up 322 yards of offense vs. Nebraska. In the passing game, they allowed 154 yards, while on the ground, they gave up 168 yards. The Fighting Illini’s defense has given up 177.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is 74th. Opponents are recording an average of 225.5 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 85.8 when playing against Illinois. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 31st in NCAA rankings.

Away Injury Report

Maryland Terrapins Recent Form

Following their recent matchup against Ohio State, Maryland’s overall record has fallen to 5-1. The Terrapins couldn’t secure the win, resulting in a 37-17 loss.

In their previous game, quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa attempted 41 passing attempts against Ohio State. He finished with 196 passing yards and a completion rate of 51.2%. Additionally, he threw two interceptions during the loss.

Despite carrying the ball 11 times against Ohio State, Antwain Littleton II was unable to score a rushing touchdown and finished with 38 yards in the game for Maryland. Maryland’s most productive receiver in the game was Jeshaun Jones, who finished with 59 on five receptions.

The Terrapins’ defense finished the game by giving up 384 total yards to Ohio State. The team’s run defense allowed 64 yards rushing compared to 320 in the passing game. So far this season, the Terrapins’ defense has given up 107.7 rushing yards per game against the run (166th). Opponents are averaging 229.8 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 78.6 against Maryland. In terms of points allowed, they are 77th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When playing on the road, Illinois has an ATS mark of 7-3 vs. the spread.
• Maryland is 6-4 in their last ten home games.
• Looking back at the last five times Maryland went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 2-3.
• Illinois’ record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 1-4.

Free Pick

It’s difficult to forecast how the Terps will be mentally after falling apart late to lose by 20 to the Buckeyes in a game that had a 7-point lead early in the 3rd quarter. That said, Maryland’s run defense is solid. Ohio State can attest to that, rushing for just 62 yards on 33 carries last week. The Illini have been up and down in regards to rushing the ball. They had only 62 against Penn State and 21 last week. Their top yardage RB Reggie Love is doubtful for this game, and Josh McCray, who has looked really good in flashes when he was able to play, is out again this week. The Terps match up well against Illinois who gives up a lot of yards, especially on the ground, where they rank 110th in yards allowed per game. However, the weather report isn’t great, wet, and 11 MPH winds, so both sides can be a little one-dimensional, keeping the score down. I see a 30-7 or 28-10 type game. Take Maryland -14 and Under 50.