College Football Picks

The Week 9 MAC matchup between Ball State and Northern Illinois features two offenses averaging under 16 points per game. Rich Crew breaks down where the value lies in this low-total grinder and why one team’s betting form stands out.

Kansas may be laying points for the first time in over a decade, but reverse line movement and betting splits show respected money lining up on the Wildcats. Joe Jensen breaks down why the smart side in this rivalry might surprise casual bettors.

Oklahoma hasn’t played an Over all season, and their defense has been historic. But can they cover against an Ole Miss attack built on explosives? Rich Crew analyzes the clash of elite defense versus dynamic offense and reveals where the real edge lies in this top-15 showdown.

Reverse line movement, a live home dog, and sharp buyback on New Mexico State. Joe Jensen breaks down why market indicators favor the Aggies over a Missouri State team struggling on third down and in the red zone.

Virginia Tech enters as 4.5-point favorites against a Cal team that’s been living on borrowed time. Kevin West breaks down why the Hokies’ ground game and home-field edge could be the difference in a Friday night fight for bowl positioning.

The Asterisk Spot is back in play as RBD targets the early Georgia Tech vs Duke game, breaking down trends, models, and his IF bet strategy for Saturday’s slate.

RBD breaks down how his twin handicapping models (T1 and T2) shaped this week’s card, filtering nine qualifying games down to three key plays: Army vs Tulane, Texas State vs Marshall, and Akron vs Ball State. Find out why his Over system’s edge makes these spots stand out on Saturday’s slate.

Notre Dame looks to stay in playoff contention while USC enters with momentum and a dangerous passing game led by Jayden Maiava. Can the Trojans keep it close as big underdogs in South Bend? Mike Mann breaks down the matchup and reveals his ATS prediction.

Texas looks overvalued after their Red River domination. With line movement tightening and sharp action favoring the under, Kentucky may be the live home dog in this SEC showdown.

Bowling Green opened -6 but sharp money quickly trimmed it to -4, hinting at quiet confidence in the Chippewas. With both offenses leaning run-heavy and red zone defenses capable of killing drives, this sets up as a classic MAC total play.

The total’s dropped from 60.5 to 58.5, and the spread ticked to Alabama -8.5 — clear signs of sharp money shaping the market. Joe Jensen explains why Tennessee’s explosive offense and situational edge make them the smarter play in Tuscaloosa.

Ohio State opened -27 and slipped to -25 despite heavy public action on the Buckeyes. Kevin West explains why that line movement — and the total drop to 41 — signals sharp value on the Badgers and the under in Madison.

Utah flipped from underdog to -3.5 road favorite as sharp money poured in early. Joe Jensen explains why advanced stats and market movement make the Utes the value play in this high-stakes Big 12 showdown.

Michigan opened -6 and dropped to -5.5 despite heavy public betting on the home team — a textbook sharp fade. Joe Jensen’s analysis reveals why Washington’s efficiency edge and situational spot make the Huskies the smarter side in Ann Arbor.

Cal opened -11.5 and dropped to -10 with no injury news — a classic signal that the books are nervous. Kevin West sees value in the points as Bill Belichick’s UNC squad looks to grind out a cover under the lights in Berkeley.

Nebraska’s potent passing game faces a desperate Minnesota squad looking to flip the Big Ten script. With the line jumping to -9 and totals falling, find out where the betting value lies in this Friday night showdown.