Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide Pick

by | Sep 20, 2022 | cfb

Vanderbilt Commodores 3-1 SU / ATS 2-2-0 vs Alabama Crimson Tide 3-0 SU / ATS 0-1-0

Date: Saturday, September 24th

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: SECN

Point Spread: Commodores +40.5/Crimson Tide -40.5 (Betnow - Get a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Money Line: Commodores OFF/Crimson Tide OFF

Over/Under: OFF

RECENT FORM

This season, the Commodores have an overall mark of 3-1 and will be kicking off their first
game in the SEC. This season, the Commodores have been favored in 2 game while posting an ATS
mark of 2-2-0. Their average over-under betting line is 57.25 leading to an over-under record of
4-0-0.

The Commodores are going for another win, as in their last game they defeated Northern
Illinois, despite entering as the betting underdog. The team finished the game throwing for 4
touchdown passes. Overall, the Commodores had 255 passing yards on a completion percentage of
64.3%. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown, while averaging 4.4 yards per
carry for a total of 173 yards.

The team’s leading quarterback is AJ Swann, who comes into the game with a passer rating of
135.14. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 452 passing yards. Will Sheppard leads
the team’s receiving corps with 23 catches for a total of 313 yards. The Commodores have turned
to running back Ray Davis a total of 70 times for a total of 385 rushing yards.

This year, Crimson Tide have an overall record of 3-0. The team will be playing its first game
in the SEC.

The Crimson Tide head into this week’s game looking to pick up another win, after they most
recently defeated UL Monroe by a score of 63-7. In the game, Alabama finished with 3 touchdowns
through the air, while throwing for 236 yards. The team ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns,
along with a total of 273 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Bryce Young, who comes into the game with a passer rating of
116.0 on a completion percentage of 68.2%. Wide receiver Traeshon Holden, has come up with the
most production for the team, with a total of 169 receiving yards. The top option in the run game
for the team is Jase McClellan, who has carried the ball 18 times for a total of 167 yards.

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BETTING TRENDS

The Commodores come into this week’s game having covered just 30.0% of their last 10 games.
Their overall record in these games is just 3-7-0. The team averaged 27.7 points in these games,
while allowing 32.7. Their last 10 over-under record is 6-4-0.

In their last 10 games, Alabama have covered the spread at a rate of 90.0%, while putting
together a straight up record of 9-1-0. On average, the team scored 36.9 points while allowing
16.3, leading to a positive scoring differential.

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

So far, the Commodores are averaging 42.0 points per-game on offense, which is good for 22nd
most in college football.

This season, Vanderbilt has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 219.5
passing yards per-game. This week, the Commodores will be facing a Alabama defense ranked 18th in
pass yards allowed per-game. So far, they are averaging 255.0 yards per-game when facing top 25
pass defenses.

This season, the run game has not been a big part of the Vanderbilt offense, as they are
averaging just 37.5 attempts per-game. With their limited opportunites, they have an average of
217.25 yards per contest, good for 29th in the NCAA. This week, the Commodores will be facing a
Alabama defense that is ranked 15th in rush yards allowed per-game. So far, they are averaging
173.0 yards per-game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

Heading into the game, the Commodores will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 87th at 28.5 points per-game allowed.

So far, the Crimson Tide are averaging 46.0 points per-game on offense, which is good for 12th
most in college football.

This season, the Crimson Tide have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
243.33 passing yards per game. This week, the Crimson Tide will be facing a Vanderbilt defense
that is ranked 117th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 243.33 yards-per-game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Alabama offense is 13th in yards per game, despite handing the ball off an average
of 31.67 times per contest (107th). This week, the Crimson Tide will be facing a Vanderbilt
defense that is ranked 76th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 237.33
yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

The Crimson Tide will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 9th in
points allowed at 8.67 points per game allowed.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Vanderbilt Commodores +40.5.
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